TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Sydorenko 1979 vs Vadim Reva 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115119––––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:28 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVadim Reva to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Sydorenko 1979 above · Vadim Reva below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Vadim Reva at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Sydorenko 1979 54–27 Vadim Reva Vadim Reva has won 27 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:2854.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Reva
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
54-27 in 81
Sydorenko
Correct
gap of 27 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1357 vs Reva 1351
Sydorenko
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 100% vs Reva 80%
Sydorenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 60% vs Reva 90%
Reva
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko +5 · Reva +2
Sydorenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Reva) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reva form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 1.833 / Reva 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Reva)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13261507
Sydorenko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Reva1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorenko3wins
AwayReva7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderReva leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenko33.3%1 of 3
AwayReva71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko3Reva7n = 10Reva took 7 of 10
S2Sydorenko4Reva6n = 10Reva took 6 of 10
S3Sydorenko4Reva6n = 10Reva took 6 of 10
S4Sydorenko4Reva3n = 7Sydorenko took 4 of 7
S5Sydorenko1Reva3n = 4Reva took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorenkoRevaS − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.038.7−1.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoRevaBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 321 vs 218 / 39165.7%55.8%211 / 321 vs 218 / 391Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RevaSydorenko 1.83/Reva 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Reva · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 15:35A. Sydorenko2671090V. Reva341112113
LSep 16 · 15:35A. Sydorenko47111014482V. Reva515121211113
WSep 9 · 15:05A. Sydorenko45111112113V. Reva30381451
LSep 2 · 16:05A. Sydorenko3843111192V. Reva44111156113
WSep 1 · 14:35A. Sydorenko45121111113V. Reva29145731
LAug 27 · 15:35A. Sydorenko35911691V. Reva3711411113
LAug 19 · 17:35A. Sydorenko4111671162V. Reva46411119113
LAug 12 · 16:35A. Sydorenko238870V. Reva331111113
LAug 9 · 19:35A. Sydorenko2410680V. Reva341211113
WAug 5 · 15:05A. Sydorenko46611125123V. Reva491171011102
A. Sydorenko10
LOct 8 · 18:35R. Serhyenko1.2051111113A. Sydorenko4.33114941WOct 8 · 16:35A. Sydorenko1.446111112113V. Lukianevych2.63117131092WOct 8 · 15:05A. Sydorenko1.3011115113H. Buianover3.40791171WOct 8 · 13:05A. Sydorenko1.301111113M. Karelov3.407970WSep 22 · 18:35A. Sydorenko1.50111911113V. Lukianevych2.5081111592WSep 22 · 17:05A. Sydorenko1.2211411113M. Karelov4.00711951LSep 22 · 15:35A. Sydorenko1.5771090V. Reva2.251112113LSep 22 · 14:05A. Sydorenko1.288911121H. Buianover3.5011117143LSep 22 · 12:35A. Sydorenko3.758820R. Serhyenko1.251111113WSep 16 · 17:05A. Sydorenko1.28122811113H. Buianover3.50101111942
V. Reva10
WOct 8 · 15:35R. Serhyenko2.201010110V. Reva1.611212133WOct 8 · 14:35V. Reva1.611111113V. Lukianevych2.203980LOct 8 · 13:35H. Buianover2.201110117113V. Reva1.6151241142WOct 5 · 19:05V. Reva1.801111113R. Serhyenko1.919760WOct 5 · 17:05M. Karelov2.109940V. Reva1.671111113WOct 5 · 16:05V. Reva1.7361111113H. Buianover2.00115661WOct 5 · 15:05V. Lukianevych2.258111011112V. Reva1.57115129133WOct 5 · 13:35V. Reva1.8311118143A. Azarov1.837611121WOct 1 · 19:05V. Reva1.8311811113R. Serhyenko1.83911951WSep 22 · 15:35A. Sydorenko1.5771090V. Reva2.251112113
Upcoming Matches
A. Sydorenko
Nothing scheduled
V. Reva
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