Maksym Karelov vs Ruslan Serhyenko · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Starts 18:05Scheduled

Maksym Karelov

Home

2.38

At publish

Lost last 1

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

Head to head

2 – 1

All 3 meetings · 66.7%

Last 3 · 2–1Same side

Ruslan Serhyenko

Away

1.53

At publish

Won last 3

4–6Last 10Won last 3

Ruslan Serhyenko arrives on a run of 3 straight wins.

Compare players

Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKarelov 2.375 / Serhyenko 1.533

Round robin · match 12 of 15

3 of 15 played

Group 17 of 18 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
1	Hennadii Buianover	1–0	3–0	4
2	Andrii Sydorenko 1979	1–0	3–0	4
3	Ruslan SerhyenkoThis match	1–0	3–2	4
4	Valerii Lukianevych	0–1	2–3	4
5	Maksym KarelovThis match	0–1	0–3	4
6	Vadim Reva	0–1	0–3	4

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomeKarelov2wins

AwaySerhyenko1wins

1 of 3 to a deciderKarelov leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Karelov1Serhyenko2n = 3Serhyenko took 2 of 3

S2Karelov1Serhyenko2n = 3Serhyenko took 2 of 3

S3Karelov2Serhyenko1n = 3Karelov took 2 of 3

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home133%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home133%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away133%

These 3 meetings

MetricKarelovSerhyenkoK − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match33.735.7−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKarelovSerhyenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 128 vs 255 / 57435.9%44.4%46 / 128 vs 255 / 574Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.6per match

Setka Cup · #13281603

Karelov2.38

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog33% won 29 of 87

Down 0–1, comes back20% 9 of 45

Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32

Serhyenko1.53

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite57% won 42 of 74

Up 2–0, closes it89% 25 of 28

Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42

Maksym Karelov vs Ruslan Serhyenko · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 12 of 15

Round robin before this match

Maksym Karelov vs Ruslan Serhyenko · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 12 of 15

Round robin before this match