TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Derevynskyi vs Oleksandr Naida · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts Oct 13, 03:55Scheduled
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Head to head
79 – 72
All 151 meetings · 52.3%
Last 10 · 6–4Same side
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Neither player arrives off a win: both lost their last one. The streak signal has nobody to back here.
Compare playersPrice verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Round robin · match 14 of 15
0 of 15 playedGroup 9 of 17 on the day's ladder
Round robin before this match
Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.
| # | Player | W–L | Sets | To play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| = | Dmytro DerevynskyiThis match | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Oleksandr NaidaThis match | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Roman Gnoevoy | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Serhii Skachenko | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Spartak Abalmaz | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Vitalii Khamurda | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevynskyi 1.666 / Naida 2.10
Setka Cup · #13281710
Derevynskyi1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 11)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 199 of 337
Up 2–0, closes it92% 97 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it73% 142 of 194
Naida2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 11)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 86 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back27% 31 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevynskyi6wins
AwayNaida4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDerevynskyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevynskyi83.3%5 of 6
AwayNaida75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevynskyi6Naida4n = 10Derevynskyi took 6 of 10
S2Derevynskyi6Naida4n = 10Derevynskyi took 6 of 10
S3Derevynskyi7Naida3n = 10Derevynskyi took 7 of 10
S4Derevynskyi2Naida4n = 6Naida took 4 of 6
S5Derevynskyi2Naida2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDerevynskyiNaidaD − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.434.6+2.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDerevynskyiNaidaBasisWin rate · lifetime476 / 866 vs 469 / 92455%50.8%476 / 866 vs 469 / 924Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 01:35D. Derevynskyi547131211113O. Naida48111510752
LSep 28 · 00:55D. Derevynskyi31381191O. Naida3711114113
WSep 18 · 04:25D. Derevynskyi361213113O. Naida26101150
WSep 14 · 23:55D. Derevynskyi341111123O. Naida2468100
WSep 4 · 00:55D. Derevynskyi331111113O. Naida173680
LSep 1 · 00:55D. Derevynskyi3111211162O. Naida41311511113
LAug 31 · 03:55D. Derevynskyi4481311842O. Naida511111711113
LAug 25 · 22:05D. Derevynskyi259970O. Naida331111113
WAug 25 · 04:25D. Derevynskyi4011117113O. Naida26541161
WAug 18 · 03:55D. Derevynskyi46111185113O. Naida4377111172
D. Derevynskyi10
LOct 11 · 21:55D. Derevynskyi1.73119871R. Gnoevoy2.0091111113LOct 8 · 03:55D. Derevynskyi1.67105121182T. Ponomarenko2.101211107113WOct 8 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.83881191D. Derevynskyi1.8311118113LOct 8 · 00:55D. Derevynskyi1.8088100S. Abalmaz1.911111123WOct 7 · 23:55K. Hrynenko2.38710111292D. Derevynskyi1.531112710113WOct 7 · 22:25D. Derevynskyi1.679111011113R. Gnoevoy2.1011812862WOct 7 · 04:05S. Pitsyk3.25511671D. Derevynskyi1.3311811113WOct 7 · 02:35D. Derevynskyi1.61111110113K. Hrynenko2.20691261WOct 7 · 00:35Y. Stepanchuk3.7511116111D. Derevynskyi1.2571311133LOct 6 · 22:35O. Melashenko2.3881111113D. Derevynskyi1.53119661
O. Naida10
LOct 11 · 22:25O. Naida2.254880S. Skachenko1.571111113WOct 9 · 03:55O. Naida2.0012116113O. Melashenko1.731061191WOct 9 · 01:55R. Gnoevoy1.735480O. Naida2.001111113WOct 9 · 00:55O. Naida1.5781112113T. Ponomarenko2.251191061LOct 8 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.407101111113O. Naida2.7511123792WOct 8 · 22:25O. Naida1.83111178113K. Hrynenko1.8398111142WOct 6 · 03:55O. Naida2.3811111133S. Abalmaz1.536811111LOct 6 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.831211113O. Naida1.8310940LOct 6 · 00:55O. Naida2.001112491R. Gnoevoy1.7371411113WOct 5 · 23:55T. Ponomarenko2.2011119792O. Naida1.61991111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Derevynskyi
Oct 12 · 01:25D. Derevynskyi1.83S. Abalmaz1.83—Oct 12 · 02:25D. Derevynskyi1.80S. Skachenko1.91—Oct 12 · 03:25D. Derevynskyi1.83V. Khamurda1.83—Oct 12 · 22:25D. Derevynskyi1.80S. Skachenko1.91—Oct 12 · 23:55D. Derevynskyi1.83V. Khamurda1.83—Oct 13 · 00:55D. Derevynskyi1.83S. Abalmaz1.83—Oct 13 · 01:55D. Derevynskyi1.73R. Gnoevoy2.00—
O. Naida
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