Oleksandr Leonenko vs Oleh Volynets 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Oleksandr Leonenko

Home

2.25

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

811411611––––

Oleh Volynets

Away

1.57

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:57 and never touched: 58.9% is still 58.9%

Graded at full time

Oleh Volynets to win

58.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingOleksandr Leonenko above · Oleh Volynets below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 4-11

Set 3 · 6-11

Point 51 set 3, 6-11 · our read held Oleh Volynets at 58.9%

51 points played in total.

H2H Oleksandr Leonenko 2–2 Oleh Volynets Dead even across their 4 meetings.

Last 4 · 2–2Head to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Volynets

Leonenko 2.25/Volynets 1.57

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

58.9%

Volynets · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Volynets won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 04:57

58.9%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571

short by 4.8pp

63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Volynets

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

2-2 in 4

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Leonenko 1466 vs Volynets 1435

Leonenko

Wrong

both rated, 30 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Leonenko 60% vs Volynets 20%

Leonenko

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Leonenko 30% vs Volynets 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Leonenko -2 · Volynets -3

Volynets

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Volynets) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Volynets: form 20%, the price implies 64%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLeonenko 2.25 / Volynets 1.571

Signal prob.41% / 59%

Edge (Volynets)-4.8pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomeLeonenko2wins

AwayVolynets2wins

Level at 2–2.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeLeonenkon = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayVolynets66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Leonenko1Volynets3n = 4Volynets took 3 of 4

S2Leonenko2Volynets2n = 4split evenly

S3Leonenko3Volynets1n = 4Leonenko took 3 of 4

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home125%

3–1Four sets, home125%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away125%

0–3Straight, away125%

These 4 meetings

MetricLeonenkoVolynetsL − VBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match28.833.0−4.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLeonenkoVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime420 / 821 vs 327 / 61951.2%52.8%420 / 821 vs 327 / 619Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.8per match

Setka Cup · #13281080

Leonenko2.25

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 08)

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog42% won 72 of 170

Down 0–1, comes back23% 22 of 94

Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 56

Volynets1.57

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 08)

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite50% won 74 of 148

Up 2–0, closes it80% 31 of 39

Up 1–0, closes it63% 45 of 71

Oleksandr Leonenko vs Oleh Volynets 0-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Oleksandr Leonenko vs Oleh Volynets 0-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.