TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Zeniuk vs Dmytro Zeniuk 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911811––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched: 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeDmytro Zeniuk to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Zeniuk above · Dmytro Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Dmytro Zeniuk at 72.8%
58 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Zeniuk 35–65 Dmytro Zeniuk Andrii Zeniuk has won 35 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:2872.8%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363
short by 0.6pp73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Zeniuk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
35-65 in 100
Zeniuk
Correct
gap of 30 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeniuk 1745 vs Zeniuk 2068
Zeniuk
Correct
both rated, 323 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeniuk 60% vs Zeniuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeniuk 40% vs Zeniuk 80%
Zeniuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeniuk -2 · Zeniuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% · Strong (leans Zeniuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeniuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeniuk 3.00 / Zeniuk 1.363
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Zeniuk)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13276848
Zeniuk3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Oct 06)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 47 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 47
Zeniuk1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 09)
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 105 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it90% 55 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it83% 81 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeniuk3wins
AwayZeniuk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZeniuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeniuk42.9%3 of 7
AwayZeniuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeniuk7Zeniuk3n = 10Zeniuk took 7 of 10
S2Zeniuk4Zeniuk6n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10
S3Zeniuk2Zeniuk8n = 10Zeniuk took 8 of 10
S4Zeniuk3Zeniuk5n = 8Zeniuk took 5 of 8
S5Zeniuk1Zeniuk2n = 3Zeniuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZeniukZeniukZeniuk − ZeniukBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.840.3−4.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeniukZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 476 vs 347 / 70453.2%49.3%253 / 476 vs 347 / 704Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZeniukZeniuk 3.00/Zeniuk 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.8%
Zeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 15:05A. Zeniuk31811661D. Zeniuk4011711113
WOct 4 · 20:30A. Zeniuk331111113D. Zeniuk228770
LSep 8 · 10:05A. Zeniuk3911761232D. Zeniuk518111110113
LSep 7 · 14:05A. Zeniuk35117891D. Zeniuk3851111113
WSep 7 · 00:00A. Zeniuk4111811113D. Zeniuk34811871
LSep 4 · 08:25A. Zeniuk2271140D. Zeniuk351113113
LSep 3 · 13:25A. Zeniuk3311111011D. Zeniuk4371312113
LAug 31 · 17:35A. Zeniuk31611591D. Zeniuk4111811113
WAug 31 · 01:30A. Zeniuk45123711123D. Zeniuk501011118102
LAug 24 · 17:35A. Zeniuk4811119982D. Zeniuk49971111113
A. Zeniuk10
LOct 6 · 10:55A. Zeniuk2.20612117122D. Pesternikov1.611110811143LOct 6 · 08:55I. Romaniak2.50161458113A. Zeniuk1.501412111172WOct 6 · 07:55A. Zeniuk1.6712811113D. Shcherbak2.101011851WOct 6 · 06:55I. Kozachuk2.50111312462A. Zeniuk1.5013111011113WOct 6 · 05:25A. Zeniuk1.2811611113O. Napirko3.50911861LOct 5 · 19:05A. Zeniuk7.00114471N. Danyliuk1.0861111113LOct 5 · 17:05B. Kohut1.2511911113A. Zeniuk3.75611621LOct 5 · 15:05D. Zeniuk1.4011711113A. Zeniuk2.75811661LOct 5 · 14:05A. Zeniuk4.0097100V. Verbyany1.221111123WOct 5 · 13:05A. Molochko1.22761141A. Zeniuk4.0011118113
D. Zeniuk10
WOct 11 · 21:30B. Kohut1.838117101D. Zeniuk1.8311411123WOct 9 · 10:55V. Verbyany2.003980D. Zeniuk1.731111113WOct 9 · 09:55B. Kohut1.83115715102D. Zeniuk1.839111113123LOct 9 · 08:25A. Molochko2.20101111113D. Zeniuk1.61129791WOct 9 · 06:25S. Rak2.63117991D. Zeniuk1.4451111113LOct 9 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.3011118143D. Zeniuk3.409711121WOct 6 · 11:05B. Kohut1.67711591D. Zeniuk2.1011911113WOct 6 · 10:05A. Molochko2.009450D. Zeniuk1.731111113WOct 6 · 08:35V. Verbyany1.809670D. Zeniuk1.911111113WOct 5 · 15:05D. Zeniuk1.4011711113A. Zeniuk2.75811661
Upcoming Matches
A. Zeniuk
Oct 11 · 22:30A. Zeniuk7.50N. Danyliuk1.07—Oct 12 · 00:00A. Zeniuk4.50V. Verbyany1.17—Oct 12 · 01:00A. Zeniuk3.75A. Molochko1.25—Oct 12 · 02:00A. Zeniuk3.75B. Kohut1.25—Oct 12 · 12:35A. Zeniuk3.75B. Kohut1.25—Oct 12 · 13:35A. Zeniuk4.33A. Molochko1.20—Oct 12 · 15:35A. Zeniuk7.50N. Danyliuk1.07—Oct 12 · 17:35A. Zeniuk4.50V. Verbyany1.17—Oct 12 · 19:05A. Zeniuk2.63D. Zeniuk1.44—
D. Zeniuk
Oct 11 · 23:30D. Zeniuk3.00N. Danyliuk1.36—Oct 12 · 01:30D. Zeniuk1.61V. Verbyany2.20—Oct 12 · 03:00D. Zeniuk1.73A. Molochko2.00—Oct 12 · 13:05D. Zeniuk3.00N. Danyliuk1.36—Oct 12 · 14:05D. Zeniuk1.73V. Verbyany2.00—Oct 12 · 15:05D. Zeniuk1.73A. Molochko2.00—Oct 12 · 17:05D. Zeniuk1.80B. Kohut1.91—Oct 12 · 19:05D. Zeniuk1.44A. Zeniuk2.63—
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