TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ivan Romaniak vs Andrii Zeniuk 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
16141412511811117
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:50 and never touched: 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Zeniuk to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Romaniak above · Andrii Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 109 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Andrii Zeniuk at 66.7%
109 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Romaniak 7–9 Andrii Zeniuk Ivan Romaniak has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:5066.7%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
clears by 0.0pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zeniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Zeniuk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Romaniak 1628 vs Zeniuk 1772
Zeniuk
Wrong
both rated, 144 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romaniak 20% vs Zeniuk 60%
Zeniuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romaniak 50% vs Zeniuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Romaniak -4 · Zeniuk +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Zeniuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romaniak form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomaniak 2.50 / Zeniuk 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Zeniuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13250523
Romaniak2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 119 of 283
Down 0–1, comes back27% 47 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back11% 12 of 105
Zeniuk1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 79 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it81% 56 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRomaniak4wins
AwayZeniuk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZeniuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRomaniak57.1%4 of 7
AwayZeniuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Romaniak7Zeniuk3n = 10Romaniak took 7 of 10
S2Romaniak3Zeniuk7n = 10Zeniuk took 7 of 10
S3Romaniak4Zeniuk6n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10
S4Romaniak4Zeniuk4n = 8split evenly
S5Romaniak1Zeniuk2n = 3Zeniuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRomaniakZeniukR − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.239.6−2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomaniakZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 582 vs 253 / 47444.5%53.4%259 / 582 vs 253 / 474Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZeniukRomaniak 2.50/Zeniuk 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.7%
Zeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Romaniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 14 · 06:05I. Romaniak178450A. Zeniuk331111113
LJun 23 · 04:55I. Romaniak44510111172A. Zeniuk52111299113
WJun 22 · 18:55I. Romaniak491151210113A. Zeniuk48911101262
WJun 10 · 08:05I. Romaniak3711114113A. Zeniuk31861161
WJun 9 · 13:35I. Romaniak341211113A. Zeniuk1810530
LJun 8 · 23:30I. Romaniak355101191A. Zeniuk4311129113
LMay 29 · 15:35I. Romaniak361196101A. Zeniuk4391111123
LMay 29 · 01:00I. Romaniak4311481192A. Zeniuk45811114113
LMay 26 · 13:35I. Romaniak29116661A. Zeniuk3961111113
WMay 26 · 01:30I. Romaniak4811129163A. Zeniuk4491011141
I. Romaniak10
LOct 6 · 07:25I. Romaniak1.531141091O. Napirko2.3861112113LOct 6 · 05:55I. Romaniak2.50771191D. Shcherbak1.5011119113LOct 6 · 04:25I. Romaniak2.389111081D. Pesternikov1.5311612113LOct 5 · 18:55S. Rak1.401111113I. Romaniak2.754970WOct 5 · 17:25I. Romaniak1.6151111113O. Napirko2.20115971WOct 5 · 15:25D. Pesternikov1.53118111092I. Romaniak2.38211612113LOct 5 · 13:25D. Shcherbak1.5311911123I. Romaniak2.384117101WOct 5 · 12:25I. Kozachuk1.501112951I. Romaniak2.50131011113WSep 29 · 11:05O. Napirko2.004970I. Romaniak1.731111113WSep 29 · 10:05D. Neborak1.73111114932I. Romaniak2.00461611113
A. Zeniuk10
WOct 6 · 07:55A. Zeniuk1.6712811113D. Shcherbak2.101011851WOct 6 · 06:55I. Kozachuk2.50111312462A. Zeniuk1.5013111011113WOct 6 · 05:25A. Zeniuk1.2811611113O. Napirko3.50911861LOct 5 · 19:05A. Zeniuk7.00114471N. Danyliuk1.0861111113LOct 5 · 17:05B. Kohut1.2511911113A. Zeniuk3.75611621LOct 5 · 15:05D. Zeniuk1.4011711113A. Zeniuk2.75811661LOct 5 · 14:05A. Zeniuk4.0097100V. Verbyany1.221111123WOct 5 · 13:05A. Molochko1.22761141A. Zeniuk4.0011118113LOct 5 · 00:00A. Zeniuk3.75611691B. Kohut1.2511711113LOct 4 · 23:00V. Verbyany1.1711126113A. Zeniuk4.503101171
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