TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Zeniuk vs Bohdan Kohut 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611117611911––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:47 and never touched: 78.5% is still 78.5%
Graded at full timeBohdan Kohut to win
78.5%
78.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Zeniuk above · Bohdan Kohut below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 72 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Bohdan Kohut at 78.5%
72 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Zeniuk 4–18 Bohdan Kohut Andrii Zeniuk has won 4 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:4778.5%Our read80.0%to break even at 1.25
short by 1.5pp80.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.25 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Kohut
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-18 in 22
Kohut
Correct
gap of 14 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeniuk 1749 vs Kohut 1947
Kohut
Correct
both rated, 197 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeniuk 20% vs Kohut 40%
Kohut
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeniuk 10% vs Kohut 50%
Kohut
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeniuk -2 · Kohut +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% · Strong (leans Kohut) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kohut form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeniuk 3.75 / Kohut 1.25
Signal prob.22% / 79%
Edge (Kohut)-1.5pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13240723
Zeniuk3.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 49 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 46
Kohut1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 34 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeniuk0wins
AwayKohut10wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKohut leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeniuk0%0 of 3
AwayKohut100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeniuk3Kohut7n = 10Kohut took 7 of 10
S2Zeniuk5Kohut5n = 10split evenly
S3Zeniuk1Kohut9n = 10Kohut took 9 of 10
S4Zeniuk2Kohut5n = 7Kohut took 5 of 7
S5Zeniuk0Kohut4n = 4Kohut took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZeniukKohutZ − KBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.441.5−7.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeniukKohutBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 465 vs 303 / 68853.6%44%249 / 465 vs 303 / 688Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KohutZeniuk 3.75/Kohut 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.5%
Kohut · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kohut won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 11:35A. Zeniuk4571111882B. Kohut47115911113
LSep 7 · 17:35A. Zeniuk3810111071B. Kohut4012512113
LAug 31 · 03:00A. Zeniuk186840B. Kohut331111113
LAug 24 · 19:05A. Zeniuk115240B. Kohut331111113
LAug 23 · 22:00A. Zeniuk34117791B. Kohut3631111113
LAug 21 · 11:25A. Zeniuk481341011102B. Kohut501111124123
LAug 20 · 14:25A. Zeniuk235990B. Kohut331111113
LAug 19 · 22:00A. Zeniuk3711127342B. Kohut496101111113
LAug 4 · 09:35A. Zeniuk4461191172B. Kohut46116117113
LAug 3 · 18:35A. Zeniuk46141110111B. Kohut4816712133
A. Zeniuk10
LOct 4 · 23:00V. Verbyany1.1711126113A. Zeniuk4.503101171LOct 4 · 22:00N. Danyliuk1.081114113A. Zeniuk7.0081280WOct 4 · 20:30D. Zeniuk1.448770A. Zeniuk2.631111113LSep 8 · 11:35B. Kohut1.25115911113A. Zeniuk3.7571111882LSep 8 · 10:05A. Zeniuk2.7511761232D. Zeniuk1.408111110113LSep 8 · 08:05V. Verbyany1.201311113A. Zeniuk4.3311180LSep 8 · 06:05A. Molochko1.17111111113A. Zeniuk4.50138281LSep 8 · 05:05N. Danyliuk1.0811119113A. Zeniuk7.00661131LSep 7 · 18:35V. Verbyany1.221111113A. Zeniuk4.006670LSep 7 · 17:35B. Kohut1.2512512113A. Zeniuk3.7510111071
B. Kohut10
LOct 5 · 01:38B. Kohut3.257790N. Danyliuk1.331111113WOct 4 · 22:30D. Zeniuk2.006890B. Kohut1.731111113LOct 4 · 21:00N. Danyliuk1.33114116113B. Kohut3.2571161182WOct 4 · 20:00V. Verbyany1.806811121B. Kohut1.9111118143LSep 29 · 08:55B. Kohut3.25911561A. Molochko1.3311811113LSep 29 · 07:55B. Kohut1.8051111892D. Zeniuk1.91119811113LSep 29 · 06:25B. Kohut2.2089111462V. Verbyany1.611111712113LSep 29 · 05:25B. Kohut3.5061380N. Danyliuk1.281115113WSep 8 · 11:35B. Kohut1.25115911113A. Zeniuk3.7571111882WSep 7 · 17:35B. Kohut1.2512512113A. Zeniuk3.7510111071
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