TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Zeniuk vs Oleh Napirko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611118116––
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:17 and never touched: 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeAndrii Zeniuk to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Zeniuk above · Oleh Napirko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 · our read held Andrii Zeniuk at 73.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Zeniuk 1–0 Oleh Napirko Oleh Napirko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:1773.1%Our read77.8%to break even at 1.285
short by 4.7pp77.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.285 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Zeniuk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zeniuk 1741 vs Napirko 1547
Zeniuk
Correct
both rated, 193 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeniuk 20% vs Napirko 0%
Zeniuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeniuk 20% vs Napirko 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeniuk -4 · Napirko -7
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% · Strong (leans Zeniuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Napirko form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeniuk 1.285 / Napirko 3.50
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Zeniuk)-4.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13250676
Zeniuk1.28
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 79 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it81% 56 of 69
Napirko3.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 60 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZeniuk1wins
AwayNapirko0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderZeniuk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZeniukNapirkoZ − NBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match50.035.0+15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeniukNapirkoBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 471 vs 418 / 84453.1%49.5%250 / 471 vs 418 / 844Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZeniukZeniuk 1.28/Napirko 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Zeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WNov 7 · 01:00A. Zeniuk50119811113O. Napirko3531111732
A. Zeniuk10
LOct 5 · 19:05A. Zeniuk7.00114471N. Danyliuk1.0861111113LOct 5 · 17:05B. Kohut1.2511911113A. Zeniuk3.75611621LOct 5 · 15:05D. Zeniuk1.4011711113A. Zeniuk2.75811661LOct 5 · 14:05A. Zeniuk4.0097100V. Verbyany1.221111123WOct 5 · 13:05A. Molochko1.22761141A. Zeniuk4.0011118113LOct 5 · 00:00A. Zeniuk3.75611691B. Kohut1.2511711113LOct 4 · 23:00V. Verbyany1.1711126113A. Zeniuk4.503101171LOct 4 · 22:00N. Danyliuk1.081114113A. Zeniuk7.0081280WOct 4 · 20:30D. Zeniuk1.448770A. Zeniuk2.631111113LSep 8 · 11:35B. Kohut1.25115911113A. Zeniuk3.7571111882
O. Napirko10
LOct 6 · 06:25O. Napirko6.0081020D. Pesternikov1.111112113LOct 5 · 18:25D. Pesternikov1.10891111113O. Napirko6.5011116652LOct 5 · 17:25I. Romaniak1.6151111113O. Napirko2.20115971LOct 5 · 15:55I. Kozachuk1.171111113O. Napirko4.506990LOct 5 · 13:55S. Rak1.111111143O. Napirko6.0067120LOct 5 · 11:55D. Shcherbak1.221211113O. Napirko4.0010880LOct 3 · 11:35S. Rak1.131111113O. Napirko5.504790LOct 3 · 10:05O. Napirko4.00911861D. Shcherbak1.2211511113WOct 3 · 08:05D. Pesternikov1.0811711462O. Napirko7.00311811113LOct 3 · 06:05Y. Kravets1.44116711113O. Napirko2.6361111782
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