TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukas Dominik Rek vs Daniel Vojna 0-3 · TT Cup
TT CupCzech 6 · Prague
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911411911––––
Daniel Vojna
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Dominik Rek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Dominik Rek above · Daniel Vojna below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Lukas Dominik Rek at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:4854.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Rek 1554 vs Vojna 1342
Rek
Wrong
both rated, 212 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 40% vs Vojna 20%
Rek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 70% vs Vojna 20%
Rek
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek -2 · Vojna -3
Vojna
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Rek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vojna form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 1.727 / Vojna 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rek)-3.9pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13274136
Rek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 61 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it77% 48 of 62
Vojna2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog38% won 12 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekVojnaBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 259 vs 210 / 47759.9%44%155 / 259 vs 210 / 477Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RekRek 1.73/Vojna 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vojna won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Rek10
LOct 10 · 16:55L. Rek1.501191161A. Brandtl Jr2.5081113113LOct 10 · 14:55L. Rek3.008890D. Zelezny1.361111113LSep 28 · 10:23L. Rek1.33841471T. Cerveny Jr3.25111112113WSep 28 · 08:55T. Cerveny Jr3.001181171L. Rek1.3613119113LSep 28 · 08:25A. Brandtl Jr3.00115611113L. Rek1.3661111992WSep 28 · 07:25L. Rek1.4411116113Z. Muhlhauser2.63541131WSep 20 · 14:30L. Rek1.401111113A. Brandtl Jr2.807780WSep 20 · 13:25A. Brandtl Jr2.638111271L. Rek1.4411714113WSep 20 · 12:25L. Rek2.0011811133Z. Dusek1.737117111WSep 20 · 10:55C. Kratochvil2.0061112742L. Rek1.731191011113
D. Vojna10
LOct 10 · 15:25A. Brandtl Jr1.8311118113D. Vojna1.83551171LOct 7 · 13:20D. Vojna1.73711913102T. Cerveny Jr2.001151111123LOct 7 · 12:50D. Vojna2.2511650F. Dvorak1.571311113WOct 7 · 11:20T. Cerveny Jr1.739590D. Vojna2.001111113LOct 7 · 10:50T. Rein1.5011911113D. Vojna2.50211951LSep 24 · 13:24D. Vojna1.80811121252P. Vodal1.911191014113LSep 24 · 12:50D. Vojna2.206101171B. Budik1.5811127113WSep 24 · 11:20P. Vodal1.8316117882D. Vojna1.831491111113LSep 24 · 10:50T. Rein1.731111113D. Vojna2.007380LSep 23 · 13:20D. Vojna1.803670T. Rein1.911111113
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