TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Tadeusz Piotrowski vs Kamil Kostyk 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesHSC 2 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811116117611711
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:07 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Kostyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
811116117611711
H2H Tadeusz Piotrowski 4–0 Kamil Kostyk Kamil Kostyk has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:0754.0%Our read53.8%to break even at 1.86
clears by 0.2pp53.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.86 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Piotrowski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Piotrowski
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Piotrowski 1401 vs Kostyk 1416
Kostyk
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piotrowski 60% vs Kostyk 20%
Piotrowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piotrowski 60% vs Kostyk 30%
Piotrowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Piotrowski +1 · Kostyk -4
Kostyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kostyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kostyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiotrowski 1.85 / Kostyk 1.86
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kostyk)+0.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13272797
Piotrowski1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 156 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it94% 80 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it81% 116 of 144
Kostyk1.86
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 43 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePiotrowski4wins
AwayKostyk0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderPiotrowski leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePiotrowski100%4 of 4
AwayKostykn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Piotrowski4Kostyk0n = 4Piotrowski took 4 of 4
S2Piotrowski3Kostyk1n = 4Piotrowski took 3 of 4
S3Piotrowski3Kostyk1n = 4Piotrowski took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home375%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricPiotrowskiKostykP − KBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match36.824.5+12.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiotrowskiKostykBasisWin rate · lifetime552 / 878 vs 225 / 46462.9%48.5%552 / 878 vs 225 / 464Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KostykPiotrowski 1.85/Kostyk 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kostyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kostyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WNov 16 · 12:25T. Piotrowski331111113K. Kostyk187650
WNov 16 · 04:00T. Piotrowski341211113K. Kostyk2310670
WOct 26 · 06:00T. Piotrowski331111113K. Kostyk175570
WOct 18 · 10:20T. Piotrowski47118611113K. Kostyk4081111642
T. Piotrowski10
WOct 10 · 03:40K. Klocek1.9911112922T. Piotrowski1.74771111113LOct 4 · 14:20T. Piotrowski1.84114511122P. Krukar1.87911117143LOct 4 · 12:40A. Szoltysek2.559111210113T. Piotrowski1.46117101272WOct 4 · 11:50B. Wisniewski2.82113117112T. Piotrowski1.38611911133WOct 4 · 11:00T. Piotrowski1.571111113W. Iwasyszyn2.208590LOct 4 · 09:50T. Piotrowski1.7111661182A. Eliasz2.02711116113WOct 4 · 07:40T. Piotrowski1.931112113M. Zagajewski1.7981070WOct 4 · 06:25T. Piotrowski1.601111113P. Staniszewski2.207690WOct 4 · 05:15T. Piotrowski1.4551611113K. Makowski2.501114551LOct 4 · 04:00M. Marchlewski1.421111113T. Piotrowski2.656790
K. Kostyk10
LOct 10 · 03:00I. Dabrowski1.901211123K. Kostyk1.75106100LSep 21 · 23:20J. Mitas1.361111123K. Kostyk3.0097100LSep 21 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.5712911123K. Kostyk2.2510118101LSep 21 · 22:10K. Kostyk2.856880J. Chmielowski1.361111113WSep 21 · 21:00M. Kolek1.409111211102K. Kostyk2.75116145123LSep 21 · 20:30K. Kostyk2.205370J. Mitas1.611111113WSep 21 · 18:50K. Kostyk1.91461111143P. Blocho1.80111165122LSep 21 · 17:40K. Kostyk2.63114591J. Chmielowski1.4451111113WSep 21 · 16:05K. Kostyk2.6311111123M. Kolek1.447118101LSep 21 · 15:00K. Kostyk1.8071111842M. Minda1.91117811113
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