TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Vasylets vs Oleksandr Syksa 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1111210119––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:57 and never touched: 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeAndrii Vasylets to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Vasylets above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Andrii Vasylets at 70.3%
54 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Vasylets 10–5 Oleksandr Syksa Oleksandr Syksa has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:5770.3%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 1.1pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vasylets
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-5 in 15
Vasylets
Correct
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasylets 1726 vs Syksa 1542
Vasylets
Correct
both rated, 184 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasylets 80% vs Syksa 60%
Vasylets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasylets 80% vs Syksa 60%
Vasylets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasylets +4 · Syksa +2
Vasylets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% · Strong (leans Vasylets) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasylets 1.40 / Syksa 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Vasylets)-1.1pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13270654
Vasylets1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite63% won 38 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40
Syksa2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 58 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back15% 21 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasylets8wins
AwaySyksa2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVasylets leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasylets71.4%5 of 7
AwaySyksa0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasylets7Syksa3n = 10Vasylets took 7 of 10
S2Vasylets7Syksa3n = 10Vasylets took 7 of 10
S3Vasylets2Syksa7n = 9Syksa took 7 of 9
S4Vasylets6Syksa3n = 9Vasylets took 6 of 9
S5Vasylets4Syksa1n = 5Vasylets took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasyletsSyksaV − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.238.8+6.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasyletsSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 521 vs 591 / 112445.9%52.6%239 / 521 vs 591 / 1124Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VasyletsVasylets 1.40/Syksa 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Vasylets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 7 · 08:00A. Vasylets50129711113O. Syksa48101111972
WSep 30 · 11:30A. Vasylets4171112113O. Syksa311151051
LSep 16 · 09:00A. Vasylets4511118782O. Syksa43911111113
WSep 13 · 17:35A. Vasylets4211119113O. Syksa24171151
WSep 13 · 15:30A. Vasylets521111811113O. Syksa3661311332
WSep 9 · 11:30A. Vasylets51811174113O. Syksa52116151192
WSep 2 · 11:30A. Vasylets4211119113O. Syksa33761191
WAug 26 · 05:30A. Vasylets49712811113O. Syksa47111011782
LAug 12 · 08:00A. Vasylets351186101O. Syksa3511111123
A. Vasylets10
WOct 10 · 13:00A. Vasylets1.331111113D. Kuzmenko3.254880WOct 7 · 11:00A. Vasylets2.5011611113S. Chuhai1.50911561WOct 7 · 09:00D. Kuzmenko2.758860A. Vasylets1.401111113WOct 7 · 08:00A. Vasylets1.50129711113O. Syksa2.50101111972LOct 7 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.5361112113A. Vasylets2.381181081WOct 7 · 05:30A. Vasylets1.281111113O. Kurylenko3.505660WOct 4 · 17:33M. Hubenko1.53611961A. Vasylets2.3811811113WOct 4 · 16:30S. Aristarkhov1.50312641A. Vasylets2.5011101153WOct 4 · 15:00A. Vasylets1.501111103O. Syksa2.507790LOct 4 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.5011126111M. Hubenko1.5031411133
O. Syksa10
LOct 10 · 15:00S. Aristarkhov1.61111111113O. Syksa2.20137441WOct 10 · 12:30O. Lyman4.3311851142O. Syksa1.20711116113WOct 9 · 11:00O. Syksa1.2271111113O. Lyman4.00116681LOct 9 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.2011118113O. Syksa1.61981181LOct 9 · 08:00O. Syksa2.7511691162M. Hubenko1.40411119113WOct 9 · 07:00O. Kurylenko1.91881181O. Syksa1.8011118113WOct 9 · 05:30O. Syksa1.3311126113S. Miroshnychenko3.255101181LOct 8 · 11:00O. Lyman4.5011118113O. Syksa1.17471181LOct 7 · 08:00A. Vasylets1.50129711113O. Syksa2.50101111972LOct 4 · 15:00A. Vasylets1.501111103O. Syksa2.507790
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