TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Bohdan Zaika vs Anatolii Kovalenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161412611118––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:28 and never touched: 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeBohdan Zaika to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Zaika above · Anatolii Kovalenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 79 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Bohdan Zaika at 56.9%
79 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Zaika 6–7 Anatolii Kovalenko Bohdan Zaika has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:2856.9%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 1.0pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zaika
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zaika 1534 vs Kovalenko 1445
Zaika
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaika 60% vs Kovalenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaika 80% vs Kovalenko 40%
Zaika
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaika +1 · Kovalenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Zaika) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaika 1.727 / Kovalenko 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Zaika)-1.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13270441
Zaika1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 14 days ago (Sep 26) · back after a break
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 63 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it75% 51 of 68
Kovalenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Oct 05)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 40 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back24% 14 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZaika4wins
AwayKovalenko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKovalenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZaika50%3 of 6
AwayKovalenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zaika6Kovalenko4n = 10Zaika took 6 of 10
S2Zaika0Kovalenko10n = 10Kovalenko took 10 of 10
S3Zaika7Kovalenko3n = 10Zaika took 7 of 10
S4Zaika2Kovalenko7n = 9Kovalenko took 7 of 9
S5Zaika3Kovalenko1n = 4Zaika took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZaikaKovalenkoZ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.343.4−3.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaikaKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 558 vs 303 / 57550.4%52.7%281 / 558 vs 303 / 575Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZaikaZaika 1.73/Kovalenko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Zaika · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zaika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJun 6 · 19:50B. Zaika32116691A. Kovalenko3961111113
LMay 9 · 15:20B. Zaika35971181A. Kovalenko3911116113
LApr 26 · 08:50B. Zaika33951181A. Kovalenko4111118113
LApr 25 · 19:50B. Zaika4061011131A. Kovalenko4511127153
WApr 19 · 07:50B. Zaika48117118113A. Kovalenko4461191172
LApr 18 · 15:20B. Zaika45117511112A. Kovalenko45611114133
LFeb 18 · 11:00B. Zaika351210491A. Kovalenko44101211113
WFeb 17 · 13:40B. Zaika43135112123A. Kovalenko471111411102
WFeb 4 · 11:05B. Zaika52871511113A. Kovalenko47111113842
B. Zaika10
LOct 10 · 14:30B. Zaika1.531011681A. Martyniuk2.3812611113WSep 26 · 18:00A. Kurtenko2.2551312101B. Zaika1.57111510113LSep 26 · 17:00B. Zaika2.63610100O. Tymofeev1.441112123WSep 26 · 16:00B. Zaika1.919111193D. Patalakha1.80119731LSep 26 · 14:30B. Zaika3.5013450O. Osadchyi1.28151163WSep 26 · 12:30B. Zaika1.57118118113S. Solomko2.2581181182WSep 19 · 18:00A. Martyniuk2.633131111102B. Zaika1.441111136123WSep 19 · 17:00B. Zaika1.4011119123E. Populovskyi2.758911101WSep 19 · 16:00B. Zaika1.3311119113S. Baranskyi3.25641171WSep 19 · 14:30B. Zaika1.731112111093O. Lipeiko2.0081451252
A. Kovalenko10
LOct 10 · 13:30O. Osadchyi1.50991111113A. Kovalenko2.5011117572LOct 5 · 11:30A. Kovalenko2.258680S. Solomko1.571111113WOct 5 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.4088111162A. Kovalenko2.75111147113WOct 5 · 07:30O. Volynets1.40121360A. Kovalenko2.751415113WOct 5 · 06:30A. Kovalenko1.9111118163E. Populovskyi1.807611141LOct 5 · 05:30O. Leonenko1.73111312113A. Kovalenko2.007151061LOct 4 · 12:50A. Kurtenko2.00101211113A. Kovalenko1.731210741LOct 4 · 11:20A. Kovalenko2.258930O. Osadchyi1.571111113WOct 4 · 09:20A. Martyniuk1.40111171182A. Kovalenko2.75681113113LOct 4 · 07:20E. Populovskyi1.9111115123A. Kovalenko1.805711101
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