TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Gajda vs Rafal Niemiec 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119119511411511
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:18 and never touched: 65.0% is still 65.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Niemiec to win
65.0%
65.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
119119511411511
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:1865.0%Our read61.0%to break even at 1.64
clears by 4.0pp61.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.64 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.64 (56%)
Niemiec
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Gajda 1371 vs Niemiec 1484
Niemiec
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gajda 60% vs Niemiec 80%
Niemiec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gajda 80% vs Niemiec 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gajda +2 · Niemiec +3
Niemiec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Niemiec) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Niemiec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 2.13 / Niemiec 1.64
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Niemiec)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13258013
Gajda2.13
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 125 of 281
Down 0–1, comes back28% 43 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back9% 7 of 80
Niemiec1.64
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 122 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it85% 83 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaNiemiecBasisWin rate · lifetime452 / 872 vs 183 / 29351.8%62.5%452 / 872 vs 183 / 293Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
NiemiecGajda 2.13/Niemiec 1.64
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65%
Niemiec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Niemiec won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Gajda10
WOct 7 · 06:45R. Gajda2.151113133K. Adamus1.60811110WOct 7 · 05:30R. Gajda1.755121111113O. Sokolowski1.9511148662LOct 6 · 14:20R. Gajda1.91810111172W. Buczynski1.80111297113LOct 6 · 12:40P. Brozek2.1071113143R. Gajda1.6711911121WOct 6 · 11:50W. Glanowski1.801215110R. Gajda1.911417133WOct 6 · 11:00R. Gajda1.44611511113P. Slosarczyk2.6311711392WOct 6 · 09:50R. Gajda2.001311910123P. Przewlocki1.731191112102WOct 6 · 08:10R. Gajda2.7571111113W. Buczynski1.40118391WOct 6 · 06:30P. Brozek1.7311590R. Gajda2.001311113WOct 6 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.73471191R. Gajda2.0011117113
R. Niemiec10
WOct 7 · 07:30R. Niemiec1.5011711133O. Sokolowski2.358114111WOct 7 · 06:20R. Niemiec1.90119118113W. Urban1.8091181172WOct 1 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.4067100R. Niemiec1.511111123LOct 1 · 15:30W. Ptak2.35711118123R. Niemiec1.53119611102WOct 1 · 14:45R. Niemiec1.35111113113J. Nowak2.95791551WOct 1 · 13:10R. Niemiec1.5011711133J. Kaczmarek2.406114111LOct 1 · 12:20R. Skotniczny1.85913811113R. Niemiec1.85111111942WOct 1 · 11:05R. Niemiec1.321111143J. Nowak3.0059120WOct 1 · 09:30R. Niemiec1.75111111113W. Ptak1.95139871LOct 1 · 08:20R. Niemiec2.05911991R. Skotniczny1.6811811113
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