TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anatolii Dulich vs Ihor Kvak 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Anatolii Dulich
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1176116111210117
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:20 and never touched: 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Dulich to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Dulich above · Ihor Kvak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 92 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Anatolii Dulich at 58.9%
92 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Dulich 1–0 Ihor Kvak Ihor Kvak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:2058.9%Our read50.0%to break even at 2.00
clears by 8.9pp50.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 2.00 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kvak
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dulich 1439 vs Kvak 1434
Dulich
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dulich 80% vs Kvak 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dulich 60% vs Kvak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dulich -1 · Kvak +4
Kvak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Dulich) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kvak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDulich 2.00 / Kvak 1.727
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Dulich)+8.9pp
Setka Cup · #13256023
Dulich2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 9 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back30% 3 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Kvak1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 26 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDulich1wins
AwayKvak0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderDulich leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDulichKvakD − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.046.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDulichKvakBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 255 vs 43 / 8747.5%49.4%121 / 255 vs 43 / 87Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.734.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DulichDulich 2.00/Kvak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Dulich · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dulich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 7 · 09:25A. Dulich46116612113I. Kvak46711111072
A. Dulich10
LOct 7 · 10:25R. Bihun1.671112113A. Dulich2.1051060LOct 7 · 08:25A. Dulich1.839890D. Ponomarenko1.831111113WOct 7 · 06:55A. Dulich1.251211153V. Kheresko3.75103130WOct 7 · 04:55A. Dulich2.001311113D. Kasian1.7311590WSep 23 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi4.005270A. Dulich1.221111113WSep 23 · 09:25A. Dulich1.36119812113O. Melnik3.00811111062LSep 23 · 08:25A. Dulich2.50117681D. Kozoriz1.5051111113LSep 23 · 06:55A. Dulich1.614580V. Hel2.201111113LSep 23 · 04:55A. Dulich1.509114121O. Maksymkiv2.5011611143WJul 14 · 17:55O. Maksymkiv2.2571141132A. Dulich1.57118116113
I. Kvak10
LOct 7 · 11:25I. Kvak2.0091180D. Kasian1.731113113WOct 7 · 07:25R. Bihun1.802340I. Kvak1.911111113WOct 7 · 06:25I. Kvak1.441111113D. Ponomarenko2.637550WOct 7 · 05:25V. Kheresko2.501110581I. Kvak1.5071211113WOct 6 · 18:55D. Ponomarenko2.386112111I. Kvak1.53111110133LOct 6 · 17:25I. Kvak1.53711781D. Kasian2.3811911113LOct 6 · 15:25K. Tkachenko2.5011711123I. Kvak1.505118101WOct 6 · 13:25R. Mazur2.755790I. Kvak1.401111113WOct 6 · 12:25V. Kheresko2.00119871I. Kvak1.7331111113LSep 27 · 11:25D. Palii1.361111113I. Kvak3.009780
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