Vsevolod Kheresko vs Ihor Kvak 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 6Finished

Vsevolod Kheresko

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 4

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

113911811711––

Ihor Kvak

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:10 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Ihor Kvak to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingVsevolod Kheresko above · Ihor Kvak below

Set 1 · 11-3

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 7-11

Point 71 set 4, 7-11 · our read held Ihor Kvak at 54.0%

71 points played in total.

The pickContradict

Sealed 12:10

54.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.9pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Kvak

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kheresko 1371 vs Kvak 1398

Kvak

Correct

both rated, 26 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kheresko 80% vs Kvak 20%

Kheresko

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kheresko 80% vs Kvak 20%

Kheresko

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kheresko +4 · Kvak -2

Kheresko

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Contradict.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kvak) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kvak form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKheresko 2.00 / Kvak 1.727

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Kheresko)-4.0pp (anti-value)

Setka Cup · #13251225

Kheresko2.00

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 30)

Won last 4

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog38% won 58 of 153

Down 0–1, comes back23% 19 of 84

Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43

Kvak1.73

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 9 days ago (Sep 27) · back after a break

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite55% won 23 of 42

Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11

Up 1–0, closes it76% 16 of 21

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKhereskoKvakBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 447 vs 37 / 7851.7%47.4%231 / 447 vs 37 / 78Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.634.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kheresko

Kheresko 2.00/Kvak 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Kvak · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Kvak won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

V. Kheresko10