TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Bilobrov vs Serhii Kyienko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118117––––
Serhii Kyienko
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:58 and never touched: 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Bilobrov to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Bilobrov above · Serhii Kyienko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 · our read held Volodymyr Bilobrov at 68.8%
55 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Bilobrov 3–0 Serhii Kyienko Serhii Kyienko has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5868.8%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363
short by 4.6pp73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Bilobrov
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Bilobrov
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bilobrov 1570 vs Kyienko 1646
Kyienko
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bilobrov 40% vs Kyienko 60%
Kyienko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bilobrov 40% vs Kyienko 60%
Kyienko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bilobrov -1 · Kyienko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Bilobrov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kyienko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBilobrov 1.363 / Kyienko 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Bilobrov)-4.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13251344
Bilobrov1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 03)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 35 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it85% 23 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it77% 30 of 39
Kyienko3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 11 days ago (Sep 25) · back after a break
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBilobrov3wins
AwayKyienko0wins
Bilobrov leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBilobrov100%3 of 3
AwayKyienkon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bilobrov3Kyienko0n = 3Bilobrov took 3 of 3
S2Bilobrov3Kyienko0n = 3Bilobrov took 3 of 3
S3Bilobrov3Kyienko0n = 3Bilobrov took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home3100%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBilobrovKyienkoB − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match33.021.7+11.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBilobrovKyienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 188 vs 85 / 15545.7%54.8%86 / 188 vs 85 / 155Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BilobrovBilobrov 1.36/Kyienko 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Bilobrov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bilobrov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WOct 6 · 06:05V. Bilobrov331111113S. Kyienko227870
WApr 25 · 08:05V. Bilobrov331111113S. Kyienko206770
WOct 19 · 09:05V. Bilobrov331111113S. Kyienko238870
V. Bilobrov10
WOct 6 · 07:35A. Martyniuk2.75105100V. Bilobrov1.401211123LOct 3 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.63119111172Y. Kovshun1.44311136113WOct 3 · 09:00A. Lobanov1.5312116882V. Bilobrov2.381031111113LOct 3 · 08:00V. Bilobrov2.7588111162V. Kryvenko1.40111169113LOct 3 · 07:00I. Efimenko1.251111113V. Bilobrov3.757980WOct 3 · 05:30V. Bilobrov1.301111113O. Tymofeev3.409560LSep 28 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.2210960A. Martyniuk4.001211113WSep 28 · 09:30I. Emets2.633640V. Bilobrov1.441111113WSep 28 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov1.50811111392V. Bilobrov2.50119715113LSep 28 · 06:30V. Bilobrov3.401113831A. Troyan1.3051511113
S. Kyienko10
LOct 6 · 07:05S. Kyienko1.6791141182Y. Kovshun2.10115115113LSep 25 · 11:30S. Kyienko2.105640A. Troyan1.671111113WSep 25 · 09:30Y. Kovshun2.1011911682S. Kyienko1.67711511113LSep 25 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.386121111113S. Kyienko1.53111061372WSep 25 · 06:30S. Kyienko1.53118117113O. Karpenko2.3861161152WSep 25 · 05:30A. Martyniuk2.2011671172S. Kyienko1.61811118113WSep 18 · 11:30S. Kyienko2.10971111113A. Troyan1.6711115482WSep 18 · 09:30Y. Kovshun1.9110560S. Kyienko1.801211113LSep 18 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.5081311113S. Kyienko1.501111871LSep 18 · 06:30S. Kyienko1.441197111O. Karpenko2.6361111133
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