TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ivan Efimenko vs Volodymyr Bilobrov 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119118––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:54 and never touched: 75.8% is still 75.8%
Graded at full timeIvan Efimenko to win
75.8%
75.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Efimenko above · Volodymyr Bilobrov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 57 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Ivan Efimenko at 75.8%
57 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Efimenko 2–0 Volodymyr Bilobrov Volodymyr Bilobrov has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:5475.8%Our read80.0%to break even at 1.25
short by 4.2pp80.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.25 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Efimenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Efimenko 1662 vs Bilobrov 1549
Efimenko
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Efimenko 40% vs Bilobrov 60%
Bilobrov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Efimenko 50% vs Bilobrov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Efimenko +2 · Bilobrov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% · Strong (leans Efimenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bilobrov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEfimenko 1.25 / Bilobrov 3.75
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Efimenko)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234750
Efimenko1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 18 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Bilobrov3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 27 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeEfimenko2wins
AwayBilobrov0wins
Efimenko leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricEfimenkoBilobrovE − BBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match35.525.0+10.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEfimenkoBilobrovBasisWin rate · lifetime25 / 42 vs 84 / 18559.5%45.4%25 / 42 vs 84 / 185Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
EfimenkoEfimenko 1.25/Bilobrov 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.8%
Efimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Efimenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WOct 3 · 07:00I. Efimenko331111113V. Bilobrov247980
WSep 12 · 08:05I. Efimenko3851111113V. Bilobrov26118521
I. Efimenko10
WOct 3 · 08:30I. Efimenko1.571111123Y. Kovshun2.2522100WOct 3 · 05:00I. Efimenko1.4411118113V. Kryvenko2.63571161LSep 30 · 17:10I. Efimenko1.257514130D. Habrelyan3.75111112110WSep 30 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn2.25119861I. Efimenko1.5791111113LSep 30 · 14:10I. Efimenko1.73611751Y. Holoborodko2.0011611113LSep 30 · 13:10V. Merzlikin2.63661111113I. Efimenko1.4411112562LSep 30 · 11:40I. Efimenko1.837119111M. Tiutiunnyk1.8311211133LSep 26 · 11:05Y. Volkov1.831111183I. Efimenko1.8346160WSep 26 · 10:05I. Efimenko1.6171111113V. Vietrov2.20118491LSep 26 · 09:05I. Efimenko1.33981581A. Troyan3.25111113113
V. Bilobrov10
LOct 3 · 08:00V. Bilobrov2.7588111162V. Kryvenko1.40111169113WOct 3 · 05:30V. Bilobrov1.301111113O. Tymofeev3.409560LSep 28 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.2210960A. Martyniuk4.001211113WSep 28 · 09:30I. Emets2.633640V. Bilobrov1.441111113WSep 28 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov1.50811111392V. Bilobrov2.50119715113LSep 28 · 06:30V. Bilobrov3.401113831A. Troyan1.3051511113LSep 28 · 05:30Y. Volkov1.5081211123V. Bilobrov2.5011107101LSep 22 · 11:30V. Bilobrov2.753740A. Troyan1.401111113WSep 22 · 09:30O. Volynets3.008860V. Bilobrov1.361111113LSep 22 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.531113119113V. Bilobrov2.3881581122
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.