TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vladimir Adamczyk vs Samuel Byrtus 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118115116––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:58 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeVladimir Adamczyk to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Adamczyk above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Vladimir Adamczyk at 59.7%
52 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Adamczyk 11–8 Samuel Byrtus Samuel Byrtus has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:5859.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Adamczyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-8 in 19
Adamczyk
Correct
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamczyk 1598 vs Byrtus 1576
Adamczyk
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamczyk 60% vs Byrtus 80%
Byrtus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamczyk 70% vs Byrtus 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamczyk +3 · Byrtus +1
Adamczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Adamczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 1.571 / Byrtus 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Adamczyk)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13248603
Adamczyk1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 58 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it81% 47 of 58
Byrtus2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 72 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back29% 25 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamczyk7wins
AwayByrtus3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderAdamczyk leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamczyk71.4%5 of 7
AwayByrtus33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamczyk7Byrtus3n = 10Adamczyk took 7 of 10
S2Adamczyk6Byrtus4n = 10Adamczyk took 6 of 10
S3Adamczyk7Byrtus3n = 10Adamczyk took 7 of 10
S4Adamczyk4Byrtus2n = 6Adamczyk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamczykByrtusA − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.331.3+4.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 234 vs 294 / 57054.3%51.6%127 / 234 vs 294 / 570Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
AdamczykAdamczyk 1.57/Byrtus 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Adamczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 6 · 07:00V. Adamczyk331111113S. Byrtus198560
WAug 13 · 10:30V. Adamczyk331111113S. Byrtus197750
WAug 13 · 06:30V. Adamczyk3911611113S. Byrtus36911881
WJul 16 · 11:00V. Adamczyk361311123S. Byrtus28117100
WJul 13 · 11:30V. Adamczyk4291111113S. Byrtus28114761
WJul 8 · 18:00V. Adamczyk3961111113S. Byrtus32115791
LJun 30 · 19:00V. Adamczyk196670S. Byrtus331111113
WJun 22 · 06:30V. Adamczyk4111118113S. Byrtus27291151
LJun 5 · 20:58V. Adamczyk4011511672S. Byrtus46911411113
LJun 5 · 20:00V. Adamczyk311353101S. Byrtus45111111123
V. Adamczyk10
WOct 6 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.671156111V. Adamczyk2.1081111133WOct 1 · 13:00V. Adamczyk1.67671111113D. Heczko2.1011119552WOct 1 · 12:30L. Martinak1.408990V. Adamczyk2.751111113LOct 1 · 11:30V. Adamczyk2.2510970T. Petrek1.571211113LOct 1 · 10:30D. Heczko2.20981711113V. Adamczyk1.61111115892LSep 30 · 13:30V. Adamczyk2.20671181R. Skacelik1.6111118113WSep 30 · 12:30V. Adamczyk1.8312118113R. Skacelik1.831091181WSep 30 · 11:00V. Adamczyk1.531111123R. Vavrecka2.3876100WSep 30 · 10:00J. Cabak1.44116913102V. Adamczyk2.636111111123WSep 30 · 08:58J. Schwan1.363118101V. Adamczyk3.0011711123
S. Byrtus10
LOct 6 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.57118113113S. Byrtus2.2541181192WOct 6 · 06:30S. Byrtus1.831112143A. Rinka1.83910120LOct 5 · 09:30S. Byrtus1.73156100J. Levicky2.001711123WOct 5 · 08:30S. Byrtus1.831311116113M. Heczko1.8315681182WOct 5 · 07:00S. Byrtus1.6781111113O. Hradil2.10114721WOct 5 · 06:00J. Levicky2.1012911982S. Byrtus1.671011611113LOct 4 · 09:29D. Oborny1.53119119113S. Byrtus2.3881171182WOct 4 · 08:00J. Levicky1.919111171S. Byrtus1.8011137113LOct 4 · 07:00D. Oborny1.57111111113S. Byrtus2.25791351WOct 4 · 06:30S. Byrtus1.7311119113D. Machander2.00561161
Upcoming Matches
V. Adamczyk
Nothing scheduled
S. Byrtus
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