TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Lukas Martinak vs Vladimir Adamczyk 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911911––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:28 and never touched: 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeLukas Martinak to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Martinak above · Vladimir Adamczyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 59 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Lukas Martinak at 66.3%
59 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Martinak 2–0 Vladimir Adamczyk Vladimir Adamczyk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:2866.3%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 5.1pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Martinak
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Martinak 1609 vs Adamczyk 1543
Martinak
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinak 40% vs Adamczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinak 50% vs Adamczyk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinak +2 · Adamczyk -3
Adamczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Martinak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martinak form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinak 1.40 / Adamczyk 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Martinak)-5.1pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13222562
Martinak1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 40 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it85% 23 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it67% 29 of 43
Adamczyk2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 29 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMartinak2wins
AwayAdamczyk0wins
Martinak leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMartinakAdamczykM − ABasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match35.523.0+12.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinakAdamczykBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 284 vs 123 / 23052.8%53.5%150 / 284 vs 123 / 230Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MartinakMartinak 1.40/Adamczyk 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Martinak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 16 · 07:30L. Martinak3811115113V. Adamczyk24621151
WJun 22 · 11:30L. Martinak331111113V. Adamczyk229850
L. Martinak10
WOct 1 · 11:00L. Martinak2.101111133D. Heczko1.6716110WOct 1 · 10:00T. Petrek1.8313101110102L. Martinak1.831112612123LSep 28 · 13:00J. Schwan1.611111113L. Martinak2.207770LSep 28 · 12:30L. Martinak1.831385111J. Schwan1.83111111133LSep 28 · 11:00L. Martinak1.7379100J. Simecek2.001111123LSep 28 · 10:00D. Langer1.801111113L. Martinak1.916480WSep 15 · 17:30F. Laburda1.8011771192L. Martinak1.90611119113WSep 15 · 16:30L. Martinak1.7361111113A. Walek2.00116791WSep 15 · 15:00L. Martinak1.73111110113D. Machander2.00851261LSep 15 · 14:00F. Laburda1.831261110183L. Martinak1.831011712162
V. Adamczyk10
WOct 1 · 13:00V. Adamczyk1.67671111113D. Heczko2.1011119552LOct 1 · 11:30V. Adamczyk2.2510970T. Petrek1.571211113LOct 1 · 10:30D. Heczko2.20981711113V. Adamczyk1.61111115892LSep 30 · 13:30V. Adamczyk2.20671181R. Skacelik1.6111118113WSep 30 · 12:30V. Adamczyk1.8312118113R. Skacelik1.831091181WSep 30 · 11:00V. Adamczyk1.531111123R. Vavrecka2.3876100WSep 30 · 10:00J. Cabak1.44116913102V. Adamczyk2.636111111123WSep 30 · 08:58J. Schwan1.363118101V. Adamczyk3.0011711123WSep 30 · 08:30R. Vavrecka2.007760V. Adamczyk1.731111113LSep 30 · 07:30V. Adamczyk2.631551181R. Skacelik1.4417114113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.