TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Sergii Skhabitskiy vs Maksym Stetsenko · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts Oct 5, 05:50Scheduled
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Head to head
19 – 18
All 37 meetings · 51.4%
Last 10 · 4–6Split
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Same-day rematch · 16h before this match
Skhabitskiy beat Stetsenko 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkhabitskiy 2.25 / Stetsenko 1.571
Setka Cup · #13245060
Skhabitskiy2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 94 of 243
Down 0–1, comes back21% 26 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 75
Stetsenko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 116 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it97% 69 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it89% 90 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkhabitskiy4wins
AwayStetsenko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStetsenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkhabitskiy66.7%2 of 3
AwayStetsenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skhabitskiy3Stetsenko7n = 10Stetsenko took 7 of 10
S2Skhabitskiy5Stetsenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Skhabitskiy3Stetsenko7n = 10Stetsenko took 7 of 10
S4Skhabitskiy3Stetsenko3n = 6split evenly
S5Skhabitskiy2Stetsenko1n = 3Skhabitskiy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkhabitskiyStetsenkoSkhabitskiy − StetsenkoBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.938.0−4.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkhabitskiyStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime475 / 1085 vs 453 / 86743.8%52.3%475 / 1085 vs 453 / 867Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 4 · 14:00S. Skhabitskiy47611811113M. Stetsenko4311811582
LOct 1 · 07:20S. Skhabitskiy361011871M. Stetsenko4112711113
LSep 30 · 19:00S. Skhabitskiy133190M. Stetsenko331111113
LSep 28 · 05:50S. Skhabitskiy32118941M. Stetsenko3851111113
WSep 27 · 19:00S. Skhabitskiy4111136113M. Stetsenko388111181
WSep 24 · 05:50S. Skhabitskiy47771111113M. Stetsenko4211119562
LSep 23 · 12:00S. Skhabitskiy30128100M. Stetsenko371411123
WSep 21 · 10:35S. Skhabitskiy351311113M. Stetsenko2511680
LSep 19 · 10:30S. Skhabitskiy1910540M. Stetsenko341211113
LSep 17 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy3921111962M. Stetsenko49118811113
S. Skhabitskiy10
WOct 4 · 17:00S. Baranskyi2.2015460S. Skhabitskiy1.611711113LOct 4 · 15:00V. Nechai1.731141112113S. Skhabitskiy2.0081141462WOct 4 · 14:00S. Skhabitskiy2.38611811113M. Stetsenko1.5311811582LOct 4 · 13:00O. Mytsyk1.6181111113S. Skhabitskiy2.20118931WOct 2 · 11:35S. Skhabitskiy2.00811711113M. Khalenko1.7311811382LOct 2 · 09:35V. Mukhin4.331111113S. Skhabitskiy1.208680WOct 2 · 08:35S. Skhabitskiy1.831811113P. Ostrovskyi1.8316380LOct 2 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.6351111113S. Skhabitskiy1.44118991WOct 2 · 06:05S. Skhabitskiy1.401611113S. Semenets2.7514360LOct 1 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy2.255380V. Melnykov1.571111113
M. Stetsenko10
WOct 4 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko2.505710M. Stetsenko1.501111113WOct 4 · 16:00S. Baranskyi2.0011613752M. Stetsenko1.739111111113LOct 4 · 14:00S. Skhabitskiy2.38611811113M. Stetsenko1.5311811582LOct 4 · 12:00V. Nechai2.10119115113M. Stetsenko1.6721181192LOct 1 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.6311119113M. Stetsenko1.44781191WOct 1 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.731111113O. Ovsiienko2.009330LOct 1 · 09:20D. Ponomarenko1.5071111113M. Stetsenko2.50117771WOct 1 · 07:20S. Skhabitskiy2.251011871M. Stetsenko1.5712711113WOct 1 · 06:20V. Melnykov2.255570M. Stetsenko1.571111113WSep 30 · 19:00S. Skhabitskiy2.003190M. Stetsenko1.731111113
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