TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Viktor Vejvoda vs Martin Skakal 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111210711311––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:50 and never touched: 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Skakal to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Vejvoda above · Martin Skakal below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 73 set 4, 3-11 · our read held Martin Skakal at 66.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Vejvoda 5–3 Martin Skakal Martin Skakal has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:5066.9%Our read80.0%to break even at 1.25
short by 13.1pp80.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.25 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Skakal
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Vejvoda
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vejvoda 1564 vs Skakal 1731
Skakal
Correct
both rated, 167 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vejvoda 20% vs Skakal 60%
Skakal
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vejvoda 30% vs Skakal 70%
Skakal
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vejvoda +1 · Skakal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Skakal) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skakal form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVejvoda 3.75 / Skakal 1.25
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Skakal)-13.1pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13238964
Vejvoda3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 83 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back19% 23 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 73
Skakal1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 40 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeVejvoda5wins
AwaySkakal3wins
1 of 8 to a deciderVejvoda leads 5–3, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVejvoda100%4 of 4
AwaySkakal75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vejvoda4Skakal4n = 8split evenly
S2Vejvoda6Skakal2n = 8Vejvoda took 6 of 8
S3Vejvoda2Skakal6n = 8Skakal took 6 of 8
S4Vejvoda3Skakal1n = 4Vejvoda took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricVejvodaSkakalV − SBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match32.533.0−0.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVejvodaSkakalBasisWin rate · lifetime462 / 892 vs 98 / 18451.8%53.3%462 / 892 vs 98 / 184Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SkakalVejvoda 3.75/Skakal 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Skakal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skakal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 22 · 23:00V. Vejvoda173770M. Skakal331111113
LSep 18 · 02:58V. Vejvoda227960M. Skakal331111113
LSep 17 · 23:30V. Vejvoda31411881M. Skakal3511211113
WAug 31 · 03:30V. Vejvoda3911116113M. Skakal32691161
WAug 31 · 02:30V. Vejvoda361114113M. Skakal2571260
WJul 18 · 22:30V. Vejvoda42511411113M. Skakal4611911962
WJul 18 · 19:00V. Vejvoda4011115133M. Skakal388811111
WMay 4 · 01:00V. Vejvoda331111113M. Skakal228950
V. Vejvoda10
WOct 4 · 18:00T. Franek1.6181181132V. Vejvoda2.20118118113LOct 2 · 17:12M. Pikous1.431111113V. Vejvoda2.605940LOct 2 · 16:30J. Louda1.4411159123V. Vejvoda2.6331311101LOct 2 · 15:30V. Vejvoda2.63413761M. Pikous1.44111111113LOct 2 · 14:31R. Wagner1.461111113V. Vejvoda2.556880LSep 30 · 13:00V. Vejvoda1.8331181192J. Zuzanek1.83115119113LSep 30 · 12:30M. Sychra2.10811175113V. Vejvoda1.67116151132LSep 30 · 11:30V. Vejvoda1.6791151172A. Brazda2.10115117113WSep 30 · 10:30J. Zuzanek1.73118991V. Vejvoda2.0071111113WSep 30 · 08:58J. Zuzanek1.7381111992V. Vejvoda2.00116911113
M. Skakal10
LOct 4 · 20:00T. Franek1.6741111113M. Skakal2.10117691WOct 4 · 18:30M. Skakal1.83111111113O. Cmerda1.83133431LOct 1 · 03:30M. Wagner1.771111123M. Skakal1.9399100LOct 1 · 02:30M. Skakal1.61811381J. Tazler2.2011811113WOct 1 · 01:30M. Wagner2.2511961172M. Skakal1.57711119113WOct 1 · 00:00M. Skakal1.441312113S. Kasnik2.63111040WSep 30 · 23:00M. Regner2.507650M. Skakal1.501111113WSep 30 · 21:30M. Skakal2.20711117113R. Rose1.6011681162LSep 30 · 20:00R. Rose1.8311811113M. Skakal1.83511691WSep 30 · 19:00O. Svacha1.61812991M. Skakal2.20111011113
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