TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Gumulinski vs Rafal Wojcik 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117911711116711
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:48 and never touched: 67.6% is still 67.6%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
67.6%
67.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
117911711116711
H2H Piotr Gumulinski 5–5 Rafal Wojcik Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:4867.6%Our read70.4%to break even at 1.42
short by 2.8pp70.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.42 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (64%)
Gumulinski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gumulinski 1574 vs Wojcik 1300
Gumulinski
Wrong
both rated, 274 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gumulinski 80% vs Wojcik 20%
Gumulinski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gumulinski 90% vs Wojcik 20%
Gumulinski
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gumulinski +4 · Wojcik -2
Gumulinski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% · Clear lean (leans Gumulinski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojcik form (20%) is below what odds imply (39%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGumulinski 1.42 / Wojcik 2.55
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Gumulinski)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13237478
Gumulinski1.42
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 378 of 605
Up 2–0, closes it95% 170 of 179
Up 1–0, closes it78% 253 of 326
Wojcik2.55
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 40 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGumulinski5wins
AwayWojcik5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGumulinski60%3 of 5
AwayWojcik60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gumulinski5Wojcik5n = 10split evenly
S2Gumulinski3Wojcik7n = 10Wojcik took 7 of 10
S3Gumulinski6Wojcik4n = 10Gumulinski took 6 of 10
S4Gumulinski2Wojcik3n = 5Wojcik took 3 of 5
S5Gumulinski2Wojcik1n = 3Gumulinski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGumulinskiWojcikG − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.836.8+2.0per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGumulinskiWojcikBasisWin rate · lifetime1034 / 1815 vs 203 / 48857%41.6%1034 / 1815 vs 203 / 488Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiGumulinski 1.42/Wojcik 2.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.6%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wojcik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 11:30P. Gumulinski50119118113R. Wojcik3421161142
LSep 27 · 07:10P. Gumulinski239770R. Wojcik331111113
LAug 1 · 15:30P. Gumulinski57119121692R. Wojcik533111018113
WAug 1 · 09:30P. Gumulinski4181111113R. Wojcik33117691
LJun 28 · 13:10P. Gumulinski2788110R. Wojcik351111133
WJun 28 · 05:30P. Gumulinski6010161211113R. Wojcik53121810762
WMar 15 · 16:55P. Gumulinski331111113R. Wojcik238780
LMar 15 · 10:55P. Gumulinski2999110R. Wojcik351111133
LMar 8 · 16:05P. Gumulinski351310391R. Wojcik45111211113
WMar 8 · 10:05P. Gumulinski331111113R. Wojcik248790
P. Gumulinski10
WOct 3 · 07:30D. Morawiec1.951P. Gumulinski1.763WOct 3 · 05:55R. Idaczyk2.40812127102P. Gumulinski1.5011101011123WOct 1 · 14:20P. Gumulinski1.5711811113W. Urban2.25611941WOct 1 · 12:40R. Idaczyk2.259129101P. Gumulinski1.57111011123WOct 1 · 11:50O. Vincenec2.3813113482P. Gumulinski1.531181111113LOct 1 · 11:00P. Gumulinski1.801016121192M. Baron1.911218108113WOct 1 · 09:50P. Gumulinski1.28111113113P. Slosarczyk3.501371181WOct 1 · 08:10P. Gumulinski1.831112113W. Urban1.8361090WOct 1 · 06:30R. Idaczyk2.38111199112P. Gumulinski1.53771111133WOct 1 · 05:40P. Slosarczyk3.50631161P. Gumulinski1.2811118113
R. Wojcik10
LOct 3 · 10:40D. Morawiec1.9081111113R. Wojcik1.81117471LOct 3 · 07:55R. Idaczyk2.00712123113R. Wojcik1.721110101182LOct 3 · 05:30P. Jedrzejak1.27101111113R. Wojcik3.42126581WSep 27 · 16:40M. Lach1.7789110R. Wojcik1.951111133LSep 27 · 15:55K. Adamus1.6511119113R. Wojcik2.05791191LSep 27 · 13:55P. Jedrzejak1.4591111113R. Wojcik2.50116651LSep 27 · 13:10R. Piechnik2.201611113R. Wojcik1.6014570LSep 27 · 11:30P. Gumulinski1.52119118113R. Wojcik2.3021161142LSep 27 · 10:40M. Lach2.0071911113R. Wojcik1.701117971WSep 27 · 09:55K. Adamus1.8081121192R. Wojcik1.85115118113
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