TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Gumulinski vs Pawel Slosarczyk 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 20
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11131171311118––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:38 and never touched: 77.5% is still 77.5%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
77.5%
77.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Gumulinski above · Pawel Slosarczyk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 85 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 77.5%
85 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Gumulinski 17–4 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 4 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:3877.5%Our read77.8%to break even at 1.285
short by 0.3pp77.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.285 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Gumulinski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
17-4 in 21
Gumulinski
Correct
gap of 13 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gumulinski 1568 vs Slosarczyk 1253
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 315 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gumulinski 100% vs Slosarczyk 20%
Gumulinski
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gumulinski 100% vs Slosarczyk 40%
Gumulinski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gumulinski +20 · Slosarczyk -1
Gumulinski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% · Strong (leans Gumulinski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGumulinski 1.285 / Slosarczyk 3.50
Signal prob.78% / 23%
Edge (Gumulinski)-0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13222119
Gumulinski1.28
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 20
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 374 of 601
Up 2–0, closes it95% 170 of 179
Up 1–0, closes it78% 252 of 325
Slosarczyk3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 117 of 384
Down 0–1, comes back12% 28 of 226
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGumulinski9wins
AwaySlosarczyk1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGumulinski leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGumulinski100%5 of 5
AwaySlosarczyk20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gumulinski5Slosarczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Gumulinski8Slosarczyk2n = 10Gumulinski took 8 of 10
S3Gumulinski8Slosarczyk2n = 10Gumulinski took 8 of 10
S4Gumulinski6Slosarczyk2n = 8Gumulinski took 6 of 8
S5Gumulinski2Slosarczyk1n = 3Gumulinski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGumulinskiSlosarczykG − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.732.9+9.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGumulinskiSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime1032 / 1816 vs 355 / 93956.8%37.8%1032 / 1816 vs 355 / 939Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.335.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiGumulinski 1.28/Slosarczyk 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.5%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 05:40P. Gumulinski4111118113P. Slosarczyk26631161
WSep 30 · 00:10P. Gumulinski53911139113P. Slosarczyk44114111172
WSep 29 · 20:30P. Gumulinski331111113P. Slosarczyk199280
WSep 24 · 15:55P. Gumulinski47111159113P. Slosarczyk3635111162
WSep 24 · 09:55P. Gumulinski4211911113P. Slosarczyk30611761
LSep 2 · 04:50P. Gumulinski46910111152P. Slosarczyk46111293113
WAug 24 · 05:05P. Gumulinski43101111113P. Slosarczyk35127881
WAug 23 · 20:45P. Gumulinski351212113P. Slosarczyk25101050
WAug 16 · 06:25P. Gumulinski4281211113P. Slosarczyk331110931
WJun 18 · 03:00P. Gumulinski4591311123P. Slosarczyk3511113101
P. Gumulinski10
WOct 1 · 08:10P. Gumulinski1.831112113W. Urban1.8361090WOct 1 · 06:30R. Idaczyk2.38111199112P. Gumulinski1.53771111133WOct 1 · 05:40P. Slosarczyk3.50631161P. Gumulinski1.2811118113WOct 1 · 04:55P. Gumulinski1.80711128113M. Baron1.91119101182WOct 1 · 03:50P. Gumulinski1.5011122113O. Vincenec2.507101151WSep 30 · 02:35J. Nowak2.0088111162P. Gumulinski1.73111165113WSep 30 · 01:25P. Gumulinski1.831111113L. Oracz1.835670WSep 30 · 00:10P. Slosarczyk3.50114111172P. Gumulinski1.28911139113WSep 29 · 22:55O. Sokolowski2.631061141P. Gumulinski1.4412116113WSep 29 · 21:20M. Koczyba2.00116741P. Gumulinski1.7391111113
P. Slosarczyk10
LOct 1 · 08:35P. Slosarczyk2.0011119182M. Baron1.73891111113WOct 1 · 06:55P. Slosarczyk2.201111113O. Vincenec1.617980LOct 1 · 05:40P. Slosarczyk3.50631161P. Gumulinski1.2811118113LOct 1 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk2.1081161172R. Idaczyk1.67116118113LOct 1 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk3.252640W. Urban1.331111113WSep 30 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.445111181P. Slosarczyk2.6311138113WSep 30 · 01:00J. Nowak1.8311119592P. Slosarczyk1.83961111113LSep 30 · 00:10P. Slosarczyk3.50114111172P. Gumulinski1.28911139113LSep 29 · 22:35P. Slosarczyk3.50861181L. Oracz1.2811114113WSep 29 · 21:45O. Sokolowski1.804670P. Slosarczyk1.911111113
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