TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Gumulinski vs Wojciech Urban 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 20
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210119––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:08 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Gumulinski above · Wojciech Urban below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Gumulinski 74–34 Wojciech Urban Wojciech Urban has won 34 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:0854.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Urban
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
74-34 in 108
Gumulinski
Correct
gap of 40 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gumulinski 1561 vs Urban 1323
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 238 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gumulinski 100% vs Urban 20%
Gumulinski
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gumulinski 100% vs Urban 50%
Gumulinski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gumulinski +20 · Urban -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Gumulinski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGumulinski 1.833 / Urban 1.833
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gumulinski)-0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13222227
Gumulinski1.83
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 20
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Urban1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGumulinski4wins
AwayUrban6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderUrban leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGumulinski66.7%4 of 6
AwayUrban100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gumulinski6Urban4n = 10Gumulinski took 6 of 10
S2Gumulinski7Urban3n = 10Gumulinski took 7 of 10
S3Gumulinski5Urban5n = 10split evenly
S4Gumulinski3Urban4n = 7Urban took 4 of 7
S5Gumulinski0Urban3n = 3Urban took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGumulinskiUrbanG − UBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.639.0+0.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGumulinskiUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime1031 / 1817 vs 802 / 170256.7%47.1%1031 / 1817 vs 802 / 1702Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiGumulinski 1.83/Urban 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 13:30P. Gumulinski331111113W. Urban178270
LSep 16 · 07:20P. Gumulinski48119117102W. Urban51911811123
LSep 8 · 11:00P. Gumulinski5513111011102W. Urban53158126123
LSep 8 · 04:55P. Gumulinski4451561352W. Urban5711131111113
WSep 2 · 05:35P. Gumulinski331111113W. Urban156630
WSep 2 · 01:35P. Gumulinski351212113W. Urban29101090
WAug 23 · 23:30P. Gumulinski4311117143W. Urban344711121
LAug 23 · 19:10P. Gumulinski311111541W. Urban4213711113
LAug 18 · 05:05P. Gumulinski381279101W. Urban44101111123
LAug 17 · 20:45P. Gumulinski3611111131W. Urban4813119153
P. Gumulinski10
WOct 1 · 06:30R. Idaczyk2.38111199112P. Gumulinski1.53771111133WOct 1 · 05:40P. Slosarczyk3.50631161P. Gumulinski1.2811118113WOct 1 · 04:55P. Gumulinski1.80711128113M. Baron1.91119101182WOct 1 · 03:50P. Gumulinski1.5011122113O. Vincenec2.507101151WSep 30 · 02:35J. Nowak2.0088111162P. Gumulinski1.73111165113WSep 30 · 01:25P. Gumulinski1.831111113L. Oracz1.835670WSep 30 · 00:10P. Slosarczyk3.50114111172P. Gumulinski1.28911139113WSep 29 · 22:55O. Sokolowski2.631061141P. Gumulinski1.4412116113WSep 29 · 21:20M. Koczyba2.00116741P. Gumulinski1.7391111113WSep 29 · 20:30P. Slosarczyk3.009280P. Gumulinski1.361111113
W. Urban10
LOct 1 · 07:20M. Baron1.831112710113W. Urban1.83910111252LOct 1 · 05:15R. Idaczyk1.8071115113W. Urban1.911171381LOct 1 · 04:30O. Vincenec1.83121112113W. Urban1.831491071WOct 1 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk3.252640W. Urban1.331111113LSep 30 · 08:20W. Urban2.037911101J. Kaczmarek1.7111117123WSep 30 · 06:45P. Adamus1.831112611112W. Urban1.88714117133WSep 30 · 06:00M. Cesarz3.658980W. Urban1.221111113LSep 30 · 05:10W. Urban2.3511128992M. Guzik1.509101111113WSep 30 · 04:00W. Urban1.99118117113M. Lebek1.7471171152WSep 29 · 08:20W. Urban1.571111113J. Kaczmarek2.253750
Upcoming Matches
P. Gumulinski
W. Urban
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.