TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kacper Adamus vs Rafal Wojcik 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117119911119––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
117119911119––
H2H Kacper Adamus 2–1 Rafal Wojcik Rafal Wojcik has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Wojcik beat Adamus 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Adamus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojcik form (20%) is below what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.65 / Wojcik 2.05
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Adamus)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13207257
Adamus1.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 357 of 577
Up 2–0, closes it97% 198 of 204
Up 1–0, closes it80% 287 of 361
Wojcik2.05
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 37 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAdamus2wins
AwayWojcik1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderAdamus leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus1Wojcik2n = 3Wojcik took 2 of 3
S2Adamus2Wojcik1n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
S3Adamus2Wojcik1n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricAdamusWojcikA − WBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match40.738.3+2.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusWojcikBasisWin rate · lifetime920 / 1693 vs 202 / 48454.3%41.7%920 / 1693 vs 202 / 484Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.65/Wojcik 2.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 27 · 09:55K. Adamus4181121192R. Wojcik46115118113
WMay 25 · 16:40K. Adamus331111113R. Wojcik269890
WMay 25 · 10:40K. Adamus48691111113R. Wojcik4311118672
K. Adamus10
LSep 27 · 17:05P. Gumulinski1.83121111113K. Adamus1.871071381WSep 27 · 14:45R. Piechnik2.376670K. Adamus1.451111113LSep 27 · 13:30M. Lach1.771112113K. Adamus1.9381080LSep 27 · 11:55P. Jedrzejak2.071281111123K. Adamus1.68141199102WSep 27 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.55711791K. Adamus1.4411711113LSep 27 · 09:55K. Adamus1.8081121192R. Wojcik1.85115118113WSep 27 · 08:45P. Gumulinski1.8881171162K. Adamus1.82117115113LSep 27 · 07:30M. Lach1.9011129113K. Adamus1.807101181LSep 27 · 05:55P. Jedrzejak1.5511912113K. Adamus2.308111071LSep 26 · 08:45K. Adamus1.3761171182R. Adach2.89115117113
R. Wojcik10
LSep 27 · 13:55P. Jedrzejak1.4591111113R. Wojcik2.50116651LSep 27 · 13:10R. Piechnik2.201611113R. Wojcik1.6014570LSep 27 · 11:30P. Gumulinski1.52119118113R. Wojcik2.3021161142LSep 27 · 10:40M. Lach2.0071911113R. Wojcik1.701117971WSep 27 · 09:55K. Adamus1.8081121192R. Wojcik1.85115118113LSep 27 · 07:55P. Jedrzejak1.271114123R. Wojcik3.30412100WSep 27 · 07:10P. Gumulinski1.449770R. Wojcik2.501111113WSep 27 · 05:30R. Piechnik1.9871170R. Wojcik1.751113113LSep 20 · 16:40R. Wojcik2.8081060K. Slawinski1.371112113LSep 20 · 15:05M. Oracz1.501111113R. Wojcik2.407960
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