TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kacper Adamus vs Rafal Wojcik 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811115211118911
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:05 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeRafal Wojcik to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
811115211118911
H2H Kacper Adamus 2–0 Rafal Wojcik Rafal Wojcik has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:05What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1369 vs Wojcik 1339
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 20% vs Wojcik 40%
Wojcik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 30% vs Wojcik 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +1 · Wojcik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojcik form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.80 / Wojcik 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Adamus)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13205612
Adamus1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 357 of 577
Up 2–0, closes it97% 198 of 204
Up 1–0, closes it80% 287 of 361
Wojcik1.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 37 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeAdamus2wins
AwayWojcik0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderAdamus leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricAdamusWojcikA − WBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.534.5+6.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusWojcikBasisWin rate · lifetime918 / 1688 vs 206 / 48554.4%42.5%918 / 1688 vs 206 / 485Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.80/Wojcik 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wojcik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMay 25 · 16:40K. Adamus331111113R. Wojcik269890
WMay 25 · 10:40K. Adamus48691111113R. Wojcik4311118672
K. Adamus10
WSep 27 · 08:45P. Gumulinski1.8881171162K. Adamus1.82117115113LSep 27 · 07:30M. Lach1.9011129113K. Adamus1.807101181LSep 27 · 05:55P. Jedrzejak1.5511912113K. Adamus2.308111071LSep 26 · 08:45K. Adamus1.3761171182R. Adach2.89115117113LSep 26 · 07:10K. Adamus1.687870R. Idaczyk2.051111113WSep 26 · 06:00K. Adamus1.411111143P. Mecik2.7079120LSep 26 · 04:25K. Adamus1.659590M. Adamus2.051111113WSep 26 · 03:10K. Adamus—1111113T. Lojtek—3660LSep 16 · 14:20K. Adamus1.8011661172P. Gumulinski1.91711119113LSep 16 · 12:40R. Gajda1.831191112113K. Adamus1.83131191092
R. Wojcik10
LSep 27 · 10:40M. Lach2.0071911113R. Wojcik1.701117971LSep 27 · 07:55P. Jedrzejak1.271114123R. Wojcik3.30412100WSep 27 · 07:10P. Gumulinski1.449770R. Wojcik2.501111113WSep 27 · 05:30R. Piechnik1.9871170R. Wojcik1.751113113LSep 20 · 16:40R. Wojcik2.8081060K. Slawinski1.371112113LSep 20 · 15:05M. Oracz1.501111113R. Wojcik2.407960LSep 20 · 14:20P. Mecik1.9891111113R. Wojcik1.60119891WSep 20 · 13:30R. Wojcik1.408121211113R. Adach2.39111014712LSep 20 · 12:20R. Wojcik2.95781191O. Jadach1.3611116113LSep 20 · 10:40R. Wojcik2.051414861K. Slawinski1.65121611113
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