TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vasyl Matviichuk vs Mykola Zavoloka 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1618611511––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:57 and never touched: 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Matviichuk above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 16-18
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 67 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 65.7%
67 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Matviichuk 5–7 Mykola Zavoloka Vasyl Matviichuk has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5765.7%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 3.6pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zavoloka
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Zavoloka
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Matviichuk 1132 vs Zavoloka 1259
Zavoloka
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Matviichuk 20% vs Zavoloka 40%
Zavoloka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Matviichuk 40% vs Zavoloka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Matviichuk -4 · Zavoloka +1
Matviichuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Zavoloka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zavoloka form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatviichuk 2.625 / Zavoloka 1.444
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Zavoloka)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13223785
Matviichuk2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 29)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 36 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back7% 6 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 68
Zavoloka1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 34 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMatviichuk3wins
AwayZavoloka7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZavoloka leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMatviichuk50%2 of 4
AwayZavoloka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Matviichuk4Zavoloka6n = 10Zavoloka took 6 of 10
S2Matviichuk4Zavoloka6n = 10Zavoloka took 6 of 10
S3Matviichuk4Zavoloka6n = 10Zavoloka took 6 of 10
S4Matviichuk2Zavoloka6n = 8Zavoloka took 6 of 8
S5Matviichuk2Zavoloka2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMatviichukZavolokaM − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.642.5−3.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatviichukZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime288 / 602 vs 52 / 9347.8%55.9%288 / 602 vs 52 / 93Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaMatviichuk 2.63/Zavoloka 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 1 · 06:00V. Matviichuk2716650M. Zavoloka401811113
LSep 22 · 05:00V. Matviichuk367111081M. Zavoloka4011612113
LSep 17 · 09:00V. Matviichuk32118941M. Zavoloka3851111113
LSep 15 · 08:00V. Matviichuk2691070M. Zavoloka341112113
LSep 8 · 09:00V. Matviichuk35691191M. Zavoloka3611113113
WAug 25 · 09:00V. Matviichuk44133611113M. Zavoloka51111111992
LAug 24 · 09:00V. Matviichuk3511311642M. Zavoloka51911911113
WJul 8 · 09:00V. Matviichuk46111311113M. Zavoloka429111391
LJul 8 · 06:30V. Matviichuk51811119122M. Zavoloka53118911143
WJul 7 · 07:00V. Matviichuk5410111111113M. Zavoloka4012541362
V. Matviichuk10
LSep 29 · 09:00A. Lysyi2.101111113V. Matviichuk1.678370LSep 29 · 07:30E. Bakin1.281111108113V. Matviichuk3.5089121192LSep 29 · 06:00V. Simchuk1.28111012113V. Matviichuk3.504121051LSep 29 · 05:00S. Honcharenko1.6111911113V. Matviichuk2.20211861WSep 28 · 10:03V. Matviichuk1.8011511113A. Lysyi1.91611771WSep 28 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi2.63591141V. Matviichuk1.4411114113LSep 28 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.10114711133V. Matviichuk1.67411112112WSep 28 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.535230V. Matviichuk2.381111113LSep 28 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak2.7581112113V. Matviichuk1.401161051WSep 25 · 10:58V. Matviichuk2.25111011113S. Honcharenko1.57712481
M. Zavoloka10
WOct 1 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.507860M. Zavoloka1.281111113LSep 24 · 09:00S. Sideltsev1.5711911113M. Zavoloka2.25111951LSep 24 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.831411113M. Zavoloka1.8312670LSep 24 · 06:00I. Sorochan1.73131113113M. Zavoloka2.0011131161WSep 24 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi1.3614514972M. Zavoloka3.0012111211113WSep 23 · 10:04M. Pohorilyi1.73811681M. Zavoloka2.0011811113LSep 23 · 09:30V. Simchuk1.301211113M. Zavoloka3.4010650LSep 23 · 08:00M. Zavoloka2.63651151V. Kurliuk1.4411119113WSep 23 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.8311127113E. Bakin1.838101171LSep 23 · 05:00M. Zavoloka2.637460M. Pohorilyi1.441111113
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