TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Matej Myler vs Lukas Heinzl 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111012116911––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:42 and never touched: 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeLukas Heinzl to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Lukas Heinzl @ 1.67 · Won
How it is goingMatej Myler above · Lukas Heinzl below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 79 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Lukas Heinzl at 58.6%
79 points played in total.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:4258.6%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 1.4pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Heinzl
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Myler 1618 vs Heinzl 1694
Heinzl
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myler 60% vs Heinzl 20%
Myler
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myler 40% vs Heinzl 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Myler +2 · Heinzl -3
Heinzl
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Heinzl) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heinzl form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyler 2.10 / Heinzl 1.666
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Heinzl)-1.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13219167
Myler2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 9 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Heinzl1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 152 of 255
Up 2–0, closes it95% 73 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it79% 113 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMylerHeinzlBasisWin rate · lifetime34 / 73 vs 348 / 64846.6%53.7%34 / 73 vs 348 / 648Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HeinzlMyler 2.10/Heinzl 1.67
Hit
What we said
58.6%
Heinzl · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Lukas Heinzl @ 1.67 · Won
What happened
1–3
Heinzl won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Myler10
WSep 30 · 14:15M. Myler2.00581111123S. Rejent1.73111168102WSep 30 · 13:15M. Myler2.2011813113L. Rulc1.619111191LSep 29 · 12:19M. Myler1.7315670J. Rochowanski2.001711113WSep 29 · 11:15J. Rochowanski2.00711571M. Myler1.7311911113LSep 29 · 10:45M. Myler2.259711111L. Veigl1.5711117133LSep 29 · 09:45M. Myler2.387740M. Stibor1.531111113LSep 23 · 16:14M. Myler2.0051090L. Rulc1.731112113LSep 23 · 15:45M. Myler1.91101040S. Rejent1.801212113LSep 23 · 14:15O. Mezera2.10111211143M. Myler1.679147121WSep 23 · 13:45L. Rulc1.678118101M. Myler2.1011911123
L. Heinzl10
WSep 30 · 14:45L. Heinzl1.611211123L. Rulc2.20107100LSep 30 · 13:45L. Heinzl1.50911129172S. Rejent2.501191011193LSep 29 · 16:49O. Mezera2.381215113L. Heinzl1.53101390LSep 29 · 15:45L. Heinzl1.25912991O. Mezera3.75111011113WSep 29 · 14:15M. Kocvara2.75811991L. Heinzl1.4011811113LSep 29 · 13:45J. Krames Sr2.2012711123L. Heinzl1.6110113101WSep 28 · 16:54L. Heinzl1.5011811113S. Rejent2.50511981LSep 28 · 15:45L. Heinzl1.44118911102A. Radkovsky2.63811118123WSep 28 · 14:15S. Rejent2.63811101272L. Heinzl1.441171210113WSep 28 · 13:45M. Makara2.207360L. Heinzl1.611111113
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