TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Matej Myler vs Lukas Veigl 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9117111171113––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:44 and never touched: 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeLukas Veigl to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Myler above · Lukas Veigl below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 80 set 4, 11-13 · our read held Lukas Veigl at 60.5%
80 points played in total.
H2H Matej Myler 4–3 Lukas Veigl Lukas Veigl has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:44What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Veigl
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Myler 1590 vs Veigl 1758
Veigl
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myler 20% vs Veigl 40%
Veigl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myler 30% vs Veigl 60%
Veigl
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Myler -4 · Veigl +2
Myler
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Veigl) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veigl form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyler 2.25 / Veigl 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Veigl)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13212689
Myler2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 9 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back22% 2 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Veigl1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 65 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it75% 43 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMyler4wins
AwayVeigl3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderMyler leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMyler100%3 of 3
AwayVeigl75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Myler3Veigl4n = 7Veigl took 4 of 7
S2Myler1Veigl6n = 7Veigl took 6 of 7
S3Myler5Veigl2n = 7Myler took 5 of 7
S4Myler2Veigl4n = 6Veigl took 4 of 6
S5Myler3Veigl0n = 3Myler took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricMylerVeiglM − VBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match40.642.3−1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMylerVeiglBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 69 vs 281 / 54344.9%51.8%31 / 69 vs 281 / 543Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.240.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VeiglMyler 2.25/Veigl 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Veigl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Veigl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 29 · 10:45M. Myler389711111L. Veigl4211117133
WSep 22 · 13:15M. Myler51127119123L. Veigl511011911102
WMay 22 · 14:15M. Myler46115118113L. Veigl4561191182
LMay 1 · 13:45M. Myler2351080L. Veigl341112113
WFeb 27 · 21:45M. Myler43101111113L. Veigl35128871
LFeb 27 · 19:15M. Myler31691151L. Veigl3911116113
WJan 7 · 20:15M. Myler521161211123L. Veigl50611149102
M. Myler10
WSep 29 · 11:15J. Rochowanski2.00711571M. Myler1.7311911113LSep 29 · 09:45M. Myler2.387740M. Stibor1.531111113LSep 23 · 16:14M. Myler2.0051090L. Rulc1.731112113LSep 23 · 15:45M. Myler1.91101040S. Rejent1.801212113LSep 23 · 14:15O. Mezera2.10111211143M. Myler1.679147121WSep 23 · 13:45L. Rulc1.678118101M. Myler2.1011911123LSep 22 · 16:49M. Myler1.73911119132J. Senk2.00119911153WSep 22 · 15:45J. Senk1.6795150M. Myler2.101111152WSep 22 · 14:45O. Mezera2.0071181172M. Myler1.73118118113WSep 22 · 13:15L. Veigl1.531011911102M. Myler2.38127119123
L. Veigl10
LSep 29 · 11:45M. Stibor1.73114116113L. Veigl2.0061131152WSep 29 · 09:15J. Rochowanski1.8081151172L. Veigl1.91118119113WSep 28 · 12:18J. Krames Sr1.7311711111L. Veigl2.0091113133LSep 28 · 11:15D. Gasparovic1.30591111113L. Veigl3.4011119992LSep 28 · 10:45L. Veigl2.101881151J. Krames Sr1.6720116113LSep 28 · 09:45L. Veigl2.3812101181M. Zelinka1.5314129113WSep 27 · 20:45L. Veigl1.7391111113M. Ullman2.00116681WSep 27 · 19:45L. Veigl1.611111113R. Pisa2.209330LSep 27 · 18:15M. Ullman1.9111911173L. Veigl1.807118151LSep 22 · 13:15L. Veigl1.531011911102M. Myler2.38127119123
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