TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Lukas Veigl vs Radovan Pisa 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119113113––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeLukas Veigl to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Veigl above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 48 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Lukas Veigl at 58.9%
48 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Veigl 49–27 Radovan Pisa Radovan Pisa has won 27 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:27What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Veigl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-27 in 76
Veigl
Correct
gap of 22 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Veigl 1755 vs Pisa 1679
Veigl
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Veigl 60% vs Pisa 20%
Veigl
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Veigl 60% vs Pisa 30%
Veigl
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Veigl -1 · Pisa -3
Pisa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Veigl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVeigl 1.61 / Pisa 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Veigl)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13202691
Veigl1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 63 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it75% 42 of 56
Pisa2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 81 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back28% 28 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVeigl6wins
AwayPisa4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVeigl leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVeigl71.4%5 of 7
AwayPisa66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Veigl7Pisa3n = 10Veigl took 7 of 10
S2Veigl6Pisa4n = 10Veigl took 6 of 10
S3Veigl6Pisa4n = 10Veigl took 6 of 10
S4Veigl4Pisa4n = 8split evenly
S5Veigl1Pisa2n = 3Pisa took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVeiglPisaV − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.236.8+4.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeiglPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 536 vs 376 / 78351.7%48%277 / 536 vs 376 / 783Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.639.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeiglVeigl 1.61/Pisa 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Veigl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Veigl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 19:45L. Veigl331111113R. Pisa159330
LSep 10 · 08:00L. Veigl3910118101R. Pisa4212711123
WSep 8 · 09:30L. Veigl43117311113R. Pisa4281111932
LJul 23 · 06:15L. Veigl4111611942R. Pisa49711911113
LJul 22 · 08:58L. Veigl431191491R. Pisa4351116113
LJul 22 · 06:00L. Veigl5591117992R. Pisa521141511113
WJul 15 · 08:28L. Veigl43101111113R. Pisa35126981
WJul 15 · 06:30L. Veigl4011117113R. Pisa31951161
WJun 27 · 18:45L. Veigl331111113R. Pisa269890
WJun 18 · 12:00L. Veigl4211911113R. Pisa33911761
L. Veigl10
LSep 27 · 18:15M. Ullman1.9111911173L. Veigl1.807118151WSep 27 · 17:45T. Liska1.83126991L. Veigl1.83101111113WSep 24 · 16:55L. Veigl1.91111011123M. Kocvara1.804126101LSep 24 · 15:45M. Kocvara1.8011129113L. Veigl1.917101171WSep 24 · 14:45O. Mezera2.25911101142L. Veigl1.57119125113WSep 24 · 13:15M. Vyskocil2.631171111102L. Veigl1.44411138123WSep 22 · 16:19O. Mezera2.38814711112L. Veigl1.531112118133LSep 22 · 15:15L. Veigl1.5311117972O. Mezera2.38681111113WSep 22 · 14:15L. Veigl1.571011611173J. Senk2.25122115152LSep 22 · 13:15L. Veigl1.531011911102M. Myler2.38127119123
R. Pisa10
WSep 27 · 20:14R. Pisa1.67111110113T. Liska2.10631241LSep 27 · 18:45T. Liska2.101111114163R. Pisa1.67813711142LSep 27 · 17:15M. Ullman1.83111159113R. Pisa1.8377111182LSep 25 · 12:53M. Makara1.9112129113R. Pisa1.8010101191WSep 25 · 11:45R. Pisa1.80881111113M. Makara1.9111117472LSep 25 · 10:15T. Liska2.101141110113R. Pisa1.6771191292LSep 25 · 09:45L. Rulc1.91111179113R. Pisa1.8085111192LSep 24 · 20:48L. Adam1.67116128113R. Pisa2.10711101142WSep 24 · 19:15V. Grubr2.108111141R. Pisa1.6711138113WSep 24 · 18:45R. Pisa2.25111167113M. Zelinka1.5774111192
Upcoming Matches
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