TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Radovan Pisa vs Tomas Liska 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161131012114––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRadovan Pisa above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 68 set 4, 11-4
68 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Pisa 61–50 Tomas Liska Tomas Liska has won 50 of their 111 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Liska beat Pisa 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Pisa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPisa 1.67 / Liska 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Pisa)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13208279
Pisa1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite52% won 82 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it88% 38 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it67% 60 of 89
Liska2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog39% won 85 of 217
Down 0–1, comes back18% 23 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePisa2wins
AwayLiska8wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLiska leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePisa50%2 of 4
AwayLiska100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pisa4Liska6n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S2Pisa5Liska5n = 10split evenly
S3Pisa2Liska8n = 10Liska took 8 of 10
S4Pisa4Liska4n = 8split evenly
S5Pisa2Liska5n = 7Liska took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPisaLiskaP − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.445.6−3.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPisaLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 783 vs 398 / 86448%46.1%376 / 783 vs 398 / 864Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.540.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PisaPisa 1.67/Liska 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 18:45R. Pisa53813711142T. Liska531111114163
LSep 25 · 10:15R. Pisa4871191292T. Liska471141110113
LSep 8 · 10:30R. Pisa4697111182T. Liska45111184113
LSep 3 · 19:45R. Pisa257990T. Liska331111113
LAug 30 · 07:15R. Pisa38129981T. Liska43101111113
WAug 13 · 07:45R. Pisa48111259113T. Liska49810111192
LAug 12 · 05:45R. Pisa4111113972T. Liska48961111113
WAug 8 · 20:13R. Pisa5811101113133T. Liska53712815112
LAug 8 · 18:15R. Pisa216690T. Liska331111113
LJul 27 · 06:45R. Pisa46711111162T. Liska52118139113
R. Pisa10
LSep 27 · 19:45L. Veigl1.611111113R. Pisa2.209330LSep 27 · 18:45T. Liska2.101111114163R. Pisa1.67813711142LSep 27 · 17:15M. Ullman1.83111159113R. Pisa1.8377111182LSep 25 · 12:53M. Makara1.9112129113R. Pisa1.8010101191WSep 25 · 11:45R. Pisa1.80881111113M. Makara1.9111117472LSep 25 · 10:15T. Liska2.101141110113R. Pisa1.6771191292LSep 25 · 09:45L. Rulc1.91111179113R. Pisa1.8085111192LSep 24 · 20:48L. Adam1.67116128113R. Pisa2.10711101142WSep 24 · 19:15V. Grubr2.108111141R. Pisa1.6711138113WSep 24 · 18:45R. Pisa2.25111167113M. Zelinka1.5774111192
T. Liska10
LSep 27 · 19:15M. Ullman2.0051112113T. Liska1.731181081WSep 27 · 18:45T. Liska2.101111114163R. Pisa1.67813711142LSep 27 · 17:45T. Liska1.83126991L. Veigl1.83101111113WSep 25 · 12:24L. Rulc1.67711881T. Liska2.1011611113LSep 25 · 11:15T. Liska2.20712111162L. Rulc1.611110137113WSep 25 · 10:15T. Liska2.101141110113R. Pisa1.6771191292WSep 25 · 09:15T. Liska1.8311811153M. Makara1.836117131LSep 22 · 12:48M. Makara1.809111212123T. Liska1.911171410102LSep 22 · 11:45T. Liska2.008101191M. Makara1.7311124113WSep 22 · 10:15L. Adam1.73861151T. Liska2.0011116113
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