TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Saleny vs Marcel Pikous 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117117811116––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:23 and never touched: 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timePetr Saleny to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Saleny above · Marcel Pikous below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6 · our read held Petr Saleny at 62.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Petr Saleny 12–4 Marcel Pikous Marcel Pikous has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Saleny
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
12-4 in 16
Saleny
Correct
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Saleny 1667 vs Pikous 1609
Saleny
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Saleny 20% vs Pikous 40%
Pikous
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Saleny 40% vs Pikous 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Saleny +1 · Pikous +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Saleny) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Saleny form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaleny 1.53 / Pikous 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Saleny)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13216979
Saleny1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 58 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it82% 44 of 54
Pikous2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 44 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back26% 14 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSaleny8wins
AwayPikous2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSaleny leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSaleny85.7%6 of 7
AwayPikous33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Saleny7Pikous3n = 10Saleny took 7 of 10
S2Saleny8Pikous2n = 10Saleny took 8 of 10
S3Saleny4Pikous6n = 10Pikous took 6 of 10
S4Saleny5Pikous4n = 9Saleny took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSalenyPikousS − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.733.8+6.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalenyPikousBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 410 vs 368 / 69950.7%52.7%208 / 410 vs 368 / 699Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SalenySaleny 1.53/Pikous 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Saleny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Saleny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 29 · 15:30P. Saleny4111118113M. Pikous31771161
WSep 22 · 15:00P. Saleny531111119113M. Pikous4046131162
LMay 14 · 16:59P. Saleny291161021M. Pikous4171112113
WMay 14 · 14:00P. Saleny46111113113M. Pikous371351181
WMay 11 · 15:00P. Saleny52141179113M. Pikous47127111162
WApr 23 · 20:00P. Saleny331111113M. Pikous173950
WApr 13 · 15:00P. Saleny4011117113M. Pikous22331151
WMar 19 · 19:30P. Saleny4181111113M. Pikous32119571
WMar 9 · 21:00P. Saleny4011117113M. Pikous31971141
LFeb 9 · 17:00P. Saleny327101141M. Pikous4011126113
P. Saleny10
LSep 29 · 16:30J. Zuzanek2.3811911113P. Saleny1.53911691WSep 29 · 14:30M. Wagner1.8311914772P. Saleny1.839111211113LSep 22 · 20:58V. Nohejl1.401111113P. Saleny2.756130LSep 22 · 20:30P. Saleny2.7510640V. Nohejl1.401211113LSep 22 · 19:00P. Saleny1.838111191O. Cmerda1.8311138113LSep 22 · 18:00R. Urbaniec1.4411511113P. Saleny2.63911851WSep 22 · 16:58P. Saleny3.251211133V. Nohejl1.33104110LSep 22 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.361411113P. Saleny3.0012960WSep 22 · 15:00M. Pikous2.2046131162P. Saleny1.611111119113LSep 22 · 14:30P. Saleny2.0011661132V. Kolar1.73611114113
M. Pikous10
WSep 29 · 16:00M. Pikous1.676121111113M. Wagner2.1011147692WSep 29 · 14:30M. Pikous1.3615611113J. Zuzanek3.001311541LSep 28 · 16:58J. Tazler1.6713117113M. Pikous2.101161121LSep 28 · 16:00M. Pikous1.8314760J. Tazler1.831611113WSep 28 · 15:30M. Regner2.207570M. Pikous1.611111113LSep 28 · 14:00M. Pikous1.916390J. Louda1.801111113WSep 28 · 02:58M. Pikous2.001111123J. Louda1.7375100WSep 28 · 02:30M. Pikous2.0011711113J. Louda1.73411591LSep 28 · 01:30P. Pycha2.10111168113M. Pikous1.6776111172LSep 22 · 15:00M. Pikous2.2046131162P. Saleny1.611111119113
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