TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Laurent Lasota vs Vladislav Reska 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811911––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:41 and never touched: 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeLaurent Lasota to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLaurent Lasota above · Vladislav Reska below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 59 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Laurent Lasota at 58.2%
59 points played in total.
H2H Laurent Lasota 4–7 Vladislav Reska Laurent Lasota has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:41What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Lasota
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Reska
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lasota 1522 vs Reska 1388
Lasota
Wrong
both rated, 134 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lasota 40% vs Reska 0%
Lasota
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lasota 50% vs Reska 20%
Lasota
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lasota +2 · Reska -6
Reska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Lasota) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reska form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLasota 1.67 / Reska 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Lasota)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13215364
Lasota1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 28)
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 50 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it76% 32 of 42
Reska2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 27)
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 53 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLasota4wins
AwayReska6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderReska leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLasota75%3 of 4
AwayReska83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lasota4Reska6n = 10Reska took 6 of 10
S2Lasota6Reska4n = 10Lasota took 6 of 10
S3Lasota6Reska4n = 10Lasota took 6 of 10
S4Lasota3Reska5n = 8Reska took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLasotaReskaL − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.537.0−1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLasotaReskaBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 294 vs 259 / 51949.7%49.9%146 / 294 vs 259 / 519Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LasotaLasota 1.67/Reska 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.2%
Lasota · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Reska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 12 · 17:15L. Lasota331111113V. Reska185670
LAug 12 · 14:15L. Lasota27117631V. Reska4181111113
LJul 30 · 08:10L. Lasota4391111752V. Reska45115711113
LJul 29 · 11:10L. Lasota351011771V. Reska4312911113
LJul 23 · 18:10L. Lasota29951141V. Reska4011117113
WJul 23 · 17:05L. Lasota3711311123V. Reska378118101
WJul 23 · 15:40L. Lasota4011117113V. Reska32971151
LJul 22 · 19:40L. Lasota2051050V. Reska341112113
WJun 14 · 19:10L. Lasota43101111113V. Reska36129781
LJun 2 · 19:45L. Lasota4891111982V. Reska44114711113
L. Lasota10
LSep 29 · 19:45L. Lasota1.83451181D. Branny1.8311117113LSep 29 · 18:45L. Lasota1.7381011111F. Theodor2.0011125133WSep 28 · 12:40D. Vitasek1.7311470L. Lasota2.001311113WSep 28 · 12:15J. Volny1.808750L. Lasota1.911111113LSep 28 · 11:15L. Lasota1.801171141D. Vitasek1.9113116113LSep 28 · 09:45P. Vinansky1.401111113L. Lasota2.755570LSep 14 · 08:45L. Lasota1.839111181D. Pawlik1.8311133113LSep 14 · 08:15L. Lasota2.005990L. Dzida1.731111113WSep 14 · 06:45D. Pawlik1.8081181182L. Lasota1.91114119113LSep 14 · 06:15R. Sedlacek2.5011711113L. Lasota1.50311851
V. Reska10
LSep 29 · 19:15V. Reska2.101011114122D. Branny1.67129711143LSep 27 · 20:39O. Skvor1.61911212113V. Reska2.20119111082LSep 27 · 20:15V. Reska1.735790O. Skvor2.001111113LSep 27 · 18:45D. Branny1.6781611113V. Reska2.101114591LSep 27 · 18:15T. Molin1.571112113V. Reska2.2561090LSep 26 · 16:49V. Reska1.33111110892M. Lorenc3.25691211113LSep 26 · 15:45V. Reska1.7361311862J. Przybyla2.001111811113WSep 26 · 14:45V. Reska1.731112113M. Lorenc2.0071060LSep 26 · 13:45V. Reska1.40111111882T. Ogrocki2.75613911113LSep 24 · 21:15V. Reska1.619890J. Przybyla2.201111113
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