TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
David Mikula vs Alexandr Virag 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911511––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:59 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlexandr Virag to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Mikula above · Alexandr Virag below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 55 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Alexandr Virag at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H David Mikula 4–3 Alexandr Virag Alexandr Virag has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:59What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Mikula
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mikula 1325 vs Virag 1416
Virag
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikula 60% vs Virag 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikula 60% vs Virag 80%
Virag
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikula -2 · Virag +3
Virag
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Virag) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikula 1.80 / Virag 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Virag)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13210940
Mikula1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 39 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Virag1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog25% won 10 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMikula4wins
AwayVirag3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderMikula leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMikula75%3 of 4
AwayVirag66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mikula4Virag3n = 7Mikula took 4 of 7
S2Mikula5Virag2n = 7Mikula took 5 of 7
S3Mikula3Virag4n = 7Virag took 4 of 7
S4Mikula0Virag3n = 3Virag took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricMikulaViragM − VBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match33.531.7+1.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikulaViragBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 351 vs 144 / 29446.7%49%164 / 351 vs 144 / 294Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ViragMikula 1.80/Virag 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Virag · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Virag won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 29 · 07:00D. Mikula228950A. Virag331111113
WMar 4 · 18:00D. Mikula50111198113A. Virag4688111182
LMar 4 · 16:00D. Mikula197570A. Virag331111113
WNov 8 · 07:30D. Mikula43511115113A. Virag4411951182
WOct 29 · 18:04D. Mikula331111113A. Virag165830
WOct 29 · 15:00D. Mikula341112113A. Virag1841040
D. Mikula10
LSep 29 · 08:30D. Mikula1.406850Z. Zientek2.751111113LSep 29 · 06:00P. Varecha1.531111113D. Mikula2.385540LSep 19 · 21:30D. Mikula1.83137981R. Kvasnicka1.83111111113WSep 19 · 20:00R. Kvasnicka2.00111151172D. Mikula1.73513117113WSep 19 · 19:00A. Schneeberger3.00111011742D. Mikula1.36212911113WSep 19 · 18:30D. Mikula1.4011138113Z. Zientek2.758111141WSep 15 · 09:30D. Tyn1.82911101142D. Mikula1.85119126113WSep 15 · 08:00D. Mikula1.531111113Z. Zientek2.388540LSep 15 · 07:30D. Tyn2.25111011113D. Mikula1.57712981WSep 15 · 06:00D. Mikula1.67117811113V. Kocian2.1061111542
A. Virag10
LSep 29 · 08:00P. Varecha1.301111113A. Virag3.405450WSep 29 · 06:30A. Virag1.50612211133Z. Zientek2.501110119112WSep 28 · 09:00T. Kraninger1.5321191192A. Virag2.38119118113WSep 28 · 08:30A. Virag1.5011411113J. Stach2.50511491LSep 28 · 07:00A. Virag1.53114811152M. Kolek2.38711119173LSep 28 · 06:00T. Kraninger1.571111113A. Virag2.255340WSep 25 · 13:30A. Virag1.251111113V. Kocian3.757750WSep 25 · 12:00A. Virag1.2811119113V. Kocian3.50621191WSep 25 · 11:30M. Levicky2.2511781172A. Virag1.57611115113WSep 25 · 10:00A. Virag1.441111113P. Banot2.638680
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