TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
David Mikula vs Zbynek Zientek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811511––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:27 and never touched: 67.1% is still 67.1%
Graded at full timeDavid Mikula to win
67.1%
67.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Mikula above · Zbynek Zientek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 52 set 3, 5-11 · our read held David Mikula at 67.1%
52 points played in total.
H2H David Mikula 7–4 Zbynek Zientek Zbynek Zientek has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:27What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Mikula
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Mikula
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mikula 1340 vs Zientek 1298
Mikula
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikula 40% vs Zientek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikula 60% vs Zientek 40%
Mikula
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikula -3 · Zientek -2
Mikula
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Mikula) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikula form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikula 1.40 / Zientek 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Mikula)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13210863
Mikula1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 39 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Zientek2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 83 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back34% 31 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back20% 10 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMikula6wins
AwayZientek4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMikula leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMikula83.3%5 of 6
AwayZientek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mikula6Zientek4n = 10Mikula took 6 of 10
S2Mikula6Zientek4n = 10Mikula took 6 of 10
S3Mikula4Zientek6n = 10Zientek took 6 of 10
S4Mikula5Zientek1n = 6Mikula took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMikulaZientekM − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.533.8+3.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikulaZientekBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 350 vs 198 / 40846.9%48.5%164 / 350 vs 198 / 408Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MikulaMikula 1.40/Zientek 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.1%
Mikula · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zientek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 18:30D. Mikula4311138113Z. Zientek348111141
WSep 15 · 08:00D. Mikula331111113Z. Zientek178540
WAug 24 · 18:30D. Mikula4113116113Z. Zientek341191131
WJul 15 · 07:00D. Mikula331111113Z. Zientek239770
LJul 13 · 18:00D. Mikula357611111Z. Zientek4411119133
WJul 9 · 08:30D. Mikula4591112133Z. Zientek3811610111
LJul 3 · 09:00D. Mikula2881190Z. Zientek351113113
WJul 3 · 07:00D. Mikula4011117113Z. Zientek27551161
LJun 4 · 09:30D. Mikula2999110Z. Zientek351111133
LJun 4 · 06:00D. Mikula4812981182Z. Zientek511011118113
D. Mikula10
WSep 29 · 08:59Z. Zientek2.2071181192D. Mikula1.61117118113LSep 29 · 07:00D. Mikula1.808950A. Virag1.911111113LSep 29 · 06:00P. Varecha1.531111113D. Mikula2.385540LSep 19 · 21:30D. Mikula1.83137981R. Kvasnicka1.83111111113WSep 19 · 20:00R. Kvasnicka2.00111151172D. Mikula1.73513117113WSep 19 · 19:00A. Schneeberger3.00111011742D. Mikula1.36212911113WSep 19 · 18:30D. Mikula1.4011138113Z. Zientek2.758111141WSep 15 · 09:30D. Tyn1.82911101142D. Mikula1.85119126113WSep 15 · 08:00D. Mikula1.531111113Z. Zientek2.388540LSep 15 · 07:30D. Tyn2.25111011113D. Mikula1.57712981
Z. Zientek10
LSep 29 · 08:59Z. Zientek2.2071181192D. Mikula1.61117118113LSep 29 · 07:30Z. Zientek1.911312981P. Varecha1.80111411113LSep 29 · 06:30A. Virag1.50612211133Z. Zientek2.501110119112WSep 21 · 09:30Z. Zientek3.0012128113J. Stach1.3610101191WSep 21 · 08:30P. Kalvar1.8381112892Z. Zientek1.831171011113LSep 21 · 07:30Z. Zientek1.831210613112M. Kolek1.8310121111133WSep 21 · 06:30J. Stach1.2510180Z. Zientek3.751211113WSep 19 · 21:15A. Schneeberger4.33881191Z. Zientek1.2011119113LSep 19 · 18:30D. Mikula1.4011138113Z. Zientek2.758111141LSep 15 · 08:00D. Mikula1.531111113Z. Zientek2.388540
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.