TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oliver Vincenec vs Pawel Adamus 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411711117711––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:07 and never touched — 59.9% is still 59.9%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
59.9%
59.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
411711117711––
H2H Oliver Vincenec 8–12 Pawel Adamus Oliver Vincenec has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-12 in 20
Adamus
Correct
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1342 vs Adamus 1428
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 20% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 40% vs Adamus 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec -1 · Adamus -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 2.20 / Adamus 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Adamus)+1.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13208647
Vincenec2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog41% won 189 of 458
Down 0–1, comes back25% 69 of 272
Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 135
Adamus1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 213 of 337
Up 2–0, closes it99% 102 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it78% 159 of 203
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec4wins
AwayAdamus6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenec75%3 of 4
AwayAdamus83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec4Adamus6n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S2Vincenec4Adamus6n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S3Vincenec4Adamus6n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S4Vincenec4Adamus3n = 7Vincenec took 4 of 7
S5Vincenec2Adamus2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecAdamusV − ABasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.541.0−3.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime693 / 1512 vs 390 / 70645.8%55.2%693 / 1512 vs 390 / 706Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.540.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusVincenec 2.20/Adamus 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.9%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 23:55O. Vincenec49139511112P. Adamus511111115133
LSep 20 · 17:55O. Vincenec2891090P. Adamus341112113
LSep 18 · 08:35O. Vincenec35861291P. Adamus43111110113
WSep 17 · 04:25O. Vincenec46711511123P. Adamus49118119102
LSep 17 · 02:00O. Vincenec216690P. Adamus331111113
WAug 28 · 17:05O. Vincenec331111113P. Adamus279990
LAug 28 · 08:45O. Vincenec31651281P. Adamus43111110113
WJul 20 · 11:00O. Vincenec4111512133P. Adamus3531110111
LJul 20 · 04:55O. Vincenec43411711102P. Adamus45117114123
WJul 10 · 22:35O. Vincenec48151147113P. Adamus50138111172
O. Vincenec10
LSep 27 · 21:05O. Vincenec2.0569100W. Urban1.701111123WSep 27 · 19:55O. Vincenec1.90691411153M. Baron1.761111129132LSep 27 · 18:45P. Kurek1.701191314113O. Vincenec2.05711111672LSep 27 · 17:55O. Vincenec2.859450J. Pruszkowski1.361111113LSep 26 · 02:35O. Vincenec1.801091181M. Baron1.9112118113WSep 26 · 01:00O. Vincenec1.83111311123O. Sokolowski1.8313117101LSep 25 · 23:45O. Vincenec1.80691111112R. Szymik1.91111187133WSep 25 · 22:10O. Vincenec2.251111113K. Juszczyk1.578780WSep 25 · 21:00O. Vincenec1.8361111113L. Oracz1.83117581LSep 25 · 20:30O. Sokolowski1.8311125163O. Vincenec1.8351011141
P. Adamus10
LSep 27 · 21:30P. Kurek1.931312113P. Adamus1.78111060WSep 27 · 20:45P. Adamus1.5711911113J. Pruszkowski2.20511881WSep 27 · 19:10P. Adamus1.62119613113M. Baron2.17711111182WSep 27 · 18:20W. Urban2.4015990P. Adamus1.441711113LSep 25 · 08:00Y. Fomin1.901141011113P. Adamus1.8071112782LSep 25 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek2.301112711113P. Adamus1.5521411972WSep 25 · 06:25P. Adamus1.351111123J. Nowak2.8578100WSep 25 · 04:50P. Adamus1.70611811113M. Lebek1.9511311882LSep 25 · 04:00P. Polok1.9891111113P. Adamus1.73115891LSep 25 · 02:45P. Adamus1.37101111111J. Nowak2.8012513133
Upcoming Matches
O. Vincenec
Nothing scheduled
P. Adamus
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