TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Adamus vs Mariusz Baron 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1179116111311118
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
1179116111311118
H2H Pawel Adamus 19–24 Mariusz Baron Pawel Adamus has won 19 of their 43 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Adamus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baron form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (46%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.62 / Baron 2.17
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Adamus)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13207978
Adamus1.62
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 213 of 337
Up 2–0, closes it99% 102 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it78% 159 of 203
Baron2.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 190 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back25% 65 of 257
Down 0–2, comes back9% 12 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus4wins
AwayBaron6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBaron leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus37.5%3 of 8
AwayBaronn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus8Baron2n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S2Adamus1Baron9n = 10Baron took 9 of 10
S3Adamus4Baron6n = 10Baron took 6 of 10
S4Adamus5Baron4n = 9Adamus took 5 of 9
S5Adamus2Baron3n = 5Baron took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusBaronA − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.244.8−1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime389 / 704 vs 873 / 182655.3%47.8%389 / 704 vs 873 / 1826Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.339.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.62/Baron 2.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 04:20P. Adamus47111311123M. Baron429158101
LSep 20 · 18:45P. Adamus4211711762M. Baron49811811113
WSep 10 · 00:45P. Adamus531171113113M. Baron4851181592
LAug 28 · 15:55P. Adamus6011111511122M. Baron60713179143
LAug 28 · 09:55P. Adamus31118661M. Baron4291111113
LAug 20 · 06:00P. Adamus4611891172M. Baron44511116113
WAug 11 · 16:20P. Adamus514111112133M. Baron531113810112
WAug 11 · 06:45P. Adamus4211119113M. Baron31581171
LJul 19 · 07:10P. Adamus31118841M. Baron4181111113
LJul 14 · 06:45P. Adamus29116120M. Baron381311143
P. Adamus10
WSep 27 · 18:20W. Urban2.4015990P. Adamus1.441711113LSep 25 · 08:00Y. Fomin1.901141011113P. Adamus1.8071112782LSep 25 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek2.301112711113P. Adamus1.5521411972WSep 25 · 06:25P. Adamus1.351111123J. Nowak2.8578100WSep 25 · 04:50P. Adamus1.70611811113M. Lebek1.9511311882LSep 25 · 04:00P. Polok1.9891111113P. Adamus1.73115891LSep 25 · 02:45P. Adamus1.37101111111J. Nowak2.8012513133WSep 25 · 01:10P. Adamus1.7113111110113M. Tkocz2.0015681272WSep 25 · 00:00P. Adamus1.80912511113P. Polok1.85111011692WSep 24 · 22:25P. Adamus1.581111123G. Jurowicz2.2597100
M. Baron10
LSep 27 · 19:55O. Vincenec1.90691411153M. Baron1.761111129132WSep 27 · 17:30P. Kurek1.66710110M. Baron2.051112133WSep 26 · 02:35O. Vincenec1.801091181M. Baron1.9112118113WSep 26 · 01:25M. Baron2.2511911113L. Oracz1.57711581WSep 26 · 00:10O. Sokolowski1.80611671M. Baron1.9111611113LSep 25 · 22:55R. Szymik1.4011116113M. Baron2.75861151LSep 25 · 21:20K. Juszczyk1.73199117123M. Baron2.001711811102WSep 25 · 20:05M. Baron2.00611119113L. Oracz1.7311571182LSep 25 · 18:30K. Juszczyk1.6711129113M. Baron2.109101181LSep 25 · 17:45O. Sokolowski1.73411911113M. Baron2.0011611872
Upcoming Matches
P. Adamus
M. Baron
Nothing scheduled
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