TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Hubenko vs Dmitro Kuzmenko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116118––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 75.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 55–14 Dmitro Kuzmenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 14 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-14 in 69
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 41 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1669 vs Kuzmenko 1486
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 60% vs Kuzmenko 40%
Hubenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 50% vs Kuzmenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko +3 · Kuzmenko -2
Hubenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.33 / Kuzmenko 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Hubenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13203138
Hubenko1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite72% won 252 of 349
Up 2–0, closes it94% 129 of 138
Up 1–0, closes it82% 179 of 218
Kuzmenko3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 109 of 305
Down 0–1, comes back17% 29 of 171
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko8wins
AwayKuzmenko2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko85.7%6 of 7
AwayKuzmenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko7Kuzmenko3n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S2Hubenko5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Hubenko4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Hubenko5Kuzmenko3n = 8Hubenko took 5 of 8
S5Hubenko5Kuzmenko0n = 5Hubenko took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoKuzmenkoH − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.936.9+6.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime567 / 1051 vs 396 / 94354%42%567 / 1051 vs 396 / 943Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.33/Kuzmenko 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 06:30M. Hubenko331111113D. Kuzmenko228680
LSep 24 · 10:30M. Hubenko32114891D. Kuzmenko3851111113
WSep 20 · 11:30M. Hubenko5611111211113D. Kuzmenko3713514412
WSep 16 · 08:30M. Hubenko538121111113D. Kuzmenko3511145232
WSep 14 · 09:00M. Hubenko491210511113D. Kuzmenko37101211222
WSep 9 · 10:30M. Hubenko48131211123D. Kuzmenko4111146101
WSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko51138611133D. Kuzmenko531111119112
LSep 2 · 08:30M. Hubenko28211781D. Kuzmenko4211911113
WAug 28 · 10:00M. Hubenko331111113D. Kuzmenko153480
WAug 25 · 09:30M. Hubenko46111248113D. Kuzmenko49810111192
M. Hubenko10
WSep 27 · 05:30O. Ziakun3.0075100M. Hubenko1.361111123WSep 26 · 16:58M. Hubenko1.571111193D. Prylepa2.2588170WSep 26 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.3311116123O. Lyman3.258911101LSep 26 · 15:00D. Prylepa2.63413116103M. Hubenko1.44111181182LSep 26 · 14:00O. Kurylenko3.0095111193M. Hubenko1.3611117782LSep 26 · 12:30A. Vasylets2.5011112113M. Hubenko1.50681151LSep 24 · 10:30M. Hubenko1.36114891D. Kuzmenko3.0051111113WSep 24 · 09:00M. Hubenko1.331111123O. Kurylenko3.2566100WSep 24 · 07:30M. Hubenko1.401711113O. Syksa2.7515860LSep 24 · 06:00M. Hubenko1.17813851S. Miroshnychenko4.50111111113
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 27 · 04:30A. Lushchyk1.301111113D. Kuzmenko3.406880LSep 25 · 11:00S. Maliuk1.801111113D. Kuzmenko1.917690WSep 25 · 10:00O. Lyman2.631011111182D. Kuzmenko1.44121395103WSep 25 · 08:30O. Syksa1.619770D. Kuzmenko2.201111113LSep 25 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.801111610113D. Kuzmenko1.9147111282WSep 25 · 04:30D. Prylepa1.5751191172D. Kuzmenko2.25119118113WSep 24 · 10:30M. Hubenko1.36114891D. Kuzmenko3.0051111113WSep 24 · 09:30D. Kuzmenko2.201111113O. Syksa1.618990LSep 24 · 08:30D. Kuzmenko1.44771171O. Lyman2.6311115113LSep 24 · 07:00D. Kuzmenko1.9151171262O. Kurylenko1.801191110113
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