TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Komorowicz vs Michal Szostak 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115116711118––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:27 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Szostak to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
115116711118––
H2H Jakub Komorowicz 14–15 Michal Szostak Jakub Komorowicz has won 14 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:27What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Szostak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-15 in 29
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komorowicz 1364 vs Szostak 1419
Szostak
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komorowicz 20% vs Szostak 60%
Szostak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komorowicz 40% vs Szostak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Komorowicz -3 · Szostak +1
Komorowicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szostak) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komorowicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomorowicz 1.98 / Szostak 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Szostak)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13199261
Komorowicz1.98
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog40% won 86 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back25% 31 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Szostak1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 18 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomorowicz3wins
AwaySzostak7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSzostak leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomorowicz60%3 of 5
AwaySzostak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komorowicz5Szostak5n = 10split evenly
S2Komorowicz3Szostak7n = 10Szostak took 7 of 10
S3Komorowicz1Szostak9n = 10Szostak took 9 of 10
S4Komorowicz5Szostak2n = 7Komorowicz took 5 of 7
S5Komorowicz2Szostak3n = 5Szostak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomorowiczSzostakK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.242.3−4.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomorowiczSzostakBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 524 vs 127 / 25645%49.6%236 / 524 vs 127 / 256Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostakKomorowicz 1.98/Szostak 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Szostak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Komorowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 18:30J. Komorowicz239860M. Szostak331111113
LSep 9 · 18:00J. Komorowicz51811111382M. Szostak551191311113
LAug 25 · 17:30J. Komorowicz48117111272M. Szostak505111310113
LAug 22 · 10:05J. Komorowicz47101171542M. Szostak551281113113
LAug 18 · 21:30J. Komorowicz331175101M. Szostak3951111123
WAug 18 · 20:30J. Komorowicz521210811113M. Szostak45101211482
WJun 23 · 20:30J. Komorowicz43111110113M. Szostak36961291
LJun 15 · 21:30J. Komorowicz247890M. Szostak331111113
WJun 15 · 17:30J. Komorowicz42114115113M. Szostak4491191142
LJun 9 · 20:30J. Komorowicz199370M. Szostak331111113
J. Komorowicz10
LSep 26 · 13:45J. Komorowicz2.109720M. Szostak1.651111113LSep 26 · 12:35J. Komorowicz1.87119851L. Buklat1.8451111113LSep 26 · 10:35S. Toborek2.051111113J. Komorowicz1.669680LSep 26 · 08:35D. Kovtanyuk2.051111113J. Komorowicz1.689960LSep 26 · 08:05J. Komorowicz2.107111071P. Kamil1.6511812113LSep 24 · 22:30L. Buklat1.1512911113J. Komorowicz4.751011751WSep 24 · 20:00J. Komorowicz1.8691111123D. Kovtanyuk1.831165101LSep 24 · 18:30J. Komorowicz2.653117101L. Buklat1.3611911123WSep 24 · 17:00J. Komorowicz1.601311133S. Toborek2.20119110WSep 24 · 15:00J. Komorowicz2.05911711143P. Kedzierski1.69114118122
M. Szostak10
WSep 26 · 13:45J. Komorowicz2.109720M. Szostak1.651111113LSep 26 · 13:05P. Kamil1.8811119113M. Szostak1.82381161LSep 26 · 11:35M. Szostak2.7371080L. Buklat1.401112113WSep 26 · 07:05S. Toborek2.40117471M. Szostak1.5081111113LSep 26 · 06:35D. Kovtanyuk1.9811711113M. Szostak1.75911671WSep 22 · 22:00K. Kos1.8591191372M. Szostak1.851161111113LSep 22 · 20:30M. Szostak2.0581160K. Kos1.661113113WSep 22 · 18:30J. Komorowicz1.959860M. Szostak1.741111113LSep 22 · 17:30M. Szostak2.10118571K. Patryk1.6551111113LSep 22 · 16:30P. Kedzierski2.401111113M. Szostak1.507680
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