TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Komorowicz vs Szymon Toborek 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Jakub Komorowicz
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111191311––––
Szymon Toborek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:05 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Komorowicz to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
13111191311––––
H2H Jakub Komorowicz 6–4 Szymon Toborek Szymon Toborek has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Komorowicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Komorowicz
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komorowicz 1382 vs Toborek 1339
Komorowicz
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komorowicz 40% vs Toborek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komorowicz 70% vs Toborek 50%
Komorowicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Komorowicz +1 · Toborek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Komorowicz) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komorowicz form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomorowicz 1.60 / Toborek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Komorowicz)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13189979
Komorowicz1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 64 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it100% 32 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it90% 46 of 51
Toborek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog36% won 5 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back31% 4 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomorowicz6wins
AwayToborek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKomorowicz leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomorowicz75%6 of 8
AwayToborekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komorowicz8Toborek2n = 10Komorowicz took 8 of 10
S2Komorowicz6Toborek4n = 10Komorowicz took 6 of 10
S3Komorowicz2Toborek8n = 10Toborek took 8 of 10
S4Komorowicz4Toborek3n = 7Komorowicz took 4 of 7
S5Komorowicz3Toborek2n = 5Komorowicz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomorowiczToborekK − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.137.5+3.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomorowiczToborekBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 518 vs 17 / 4845.2%35.4%234 / 518 vs 17 / 48Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match39.634.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KomorowiczKomorowicz 1.60/Toborek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.1%
Komorowicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Komorowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 26 · 22:35J. Komorowicz4411681182S. Toborek47711117113
LJul 26 · 19:05J. Komorowicz33811771S. Toborek4211911113
WJul 11 · 15:05J. Komorowicz331111113S. Toborek269980
WJul 4 · 13:45J. Komorowicz511271011113S. Toborek45101112662
LJul 4 · 11:35J. Komorowicz2610880S. Toborek341211113
WJun 29 · 18:00J. Komorowicz51111379113S. Toborek42311111162
WJun 22 · 19:30J. Komorowicz331111113S. Toborek239590
WJun 14 · 15:35J. Komorowicz4211119113S. Toborek33581191
WJun 6 · 13:35J. Komorowicz50111188123S. Toborek39251111102
LJun 6 · 06:35J. Komorowicz48111091172S. Toborek44212118113
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 24 · 15:00J. Komorowicz2.05911711143P. Kedzierski1.69114118122LSep 24 · 14:00J. Komorowicz2.506670K. Patryk1.441111113WSep 23 · 22:00J. Komorowicz2.6061111113K. Kos1.44115891LSep 23 · 21:00J. Caban1.471311113J. Komorowicz2.3411790LSep 23 · 19:30J. Komorowicz2.13116781K. Patryk1.6491111113WSep 23 · 17:30L. Buklat1.401113981J. Komorowicz2.7581511113WSep 23 · 15:00K. Kos1.501191291J. Komorowicz2.4071114113WSep 23 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.05771112102J. Komorowicz1.701111810123WSep 22 · 21:30J. Komorowicz—81112123D. Kovtanyuk—11410101WSep 22 · 20:00J. Komorowicz1.8211119113P. Kedzierski1.88991191
S. Toborek10
LSep 24 · 16:00L. Buklat1.371111113S. Toborek2.871670WSep 24 · 15:30S. Toborek3.0051111123K. Patryk1.341168101WJul 26 · 22:35S. Toborek—711117113J. Komorowicz—11681182LJul 26 · 21:35L. Buklat1.351111113S. Toborek2.758590LJul 26 · 20:35J. Ubik1.711111113S. Toborek2.009580WJul 26 · 19:05J. Komorowicz1.71811771S. Toborek2.0011911113WJul 11 · 23:15W. Arkadiusz1.42111071372S. Toborek2.654121111113LJul 11 · 21:35W. Arkadiusz1.5911114113S. Toborek2.13961191LJul 11 · 20:35K. Patryk1.3411711113S. Toborek2.85211741WJul 11 · 19:05L. Buklat1.521261061S. Toborek2.25101112113
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