TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Komorowicz vs Pasek Kamil 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111181012711––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Komorowicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
7111181012711––
H2H Jakub Komorowicz 13–20 Pasek Kamil Jakub Komorowicz has won 13 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:15What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Kamil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-20 in 33
Kamil
Correct
gap of 7 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komorowicz 1390 vs Kamil 1422
Kamil
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komorowicz 60% vs Kamil 20%
Komorowicz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komorowicz 50% vs Kamil 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Komorowicz -1 · Kamil -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kamil) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kamil form (20%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomorowicz 2.10 / Kamil 1.65
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kamil)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13197362
Komorowicz2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 24)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 86 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back25% 31 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Kamil1.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 24 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it70% 16 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomorowicz5wins
AwayKamil5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomorowicz75%3 of 4
AwayKamil66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komorowicz4Kamil6n = 10Kamil took 6 of 10
S2Komorowicz4Kamil6n = 10Kamil took 6 of 10
S3Komorowicz4Kamil6n = 10Kamil took 6 of 10
S4Komorowicz6Kamil3n = 9Komorowicz took 6 of 9
S5Komorowicz3Kamil2n = 5Komorowicz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomorowiczKamilKomorowicz − KamilBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.142.8−1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomorowiczKamilBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 522 vs 120 / 21545.2%55.8%236 / 522 vs 120 / 215Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KamilKomorowicz 2.10/Kamil 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.4%
Kamil · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kamil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 21:40J. Komorowicz49811811113P. Kamil4711811892
LSep 2 · 20:00J. Komorowicz34671291P. Kamil43111110113
WSep 1 · 16:00J. Komorowicz50117613133P. Kamil506111111112
LAug 31 · 17:00J. Komorowicz199370P. Kamil331111113
LAug 15 · 23:35J. Komorowicz391177141P. Kamil4681111163
WAug 15 · 16:05J. Komorowicz50811911113P. Kamil4111511592
WAug 14 · 20:00J. Komorowicz3711411113P. Kamil34711791
WAug 11 · 13:00J. Komorowicz4112117113P. Kamil341091141
LAug 11 · 06:30J. Komorowicz46811115112P. Kamil50119611133
LAug 4 · 14:00J. Komorowicz46810111162P. Kamil50111279113
J. Komorowicz10
LSep 26 · 08:35D. Kovtanyuk2.051111113J. Komorowicz1.689960LSep 24 · 22:30L. Buklat1.1512911113J. Komorowicz4.751011751WSep 24 · 20:00J. Komorowicz1.8691111123D. Kovtanyuk1.831165101LSep 24 · 18:30J. Komorowicz2.653117101L. Buklat1.3611911123WSep 24 · 17:00J. Komorowicz1.601311133S. Toborek2.20119110WSep 24 · 15:00J. Komorowicz2.05911711143P. Kedzierski1.69114118122LSep 24 · 14:00J. Komorowicz2.506670K. Patryk1.441111113WSep 23 · 22:00J. Komorowicz2.6061111113K. Kos1.44115891LSep 23 · 21:00J. Caban1.471311113J. Komorowicz2.3411790LSep 23 · 19:30J. Komorowicz2.13116781K. Patryk1.6491111113
P. Kamil10
LSep 26 · 07:35P. Kamil2.106920L. Buklat1.601111113LSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113WSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113LSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471WSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113LSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123WSep 1 · 18:30F. Baranski—61111562P. Kamil—114911113
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