TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radomir Benesz vs Patrik Jokiel 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511511111611––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:52 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timePatrik Jokiel to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadomir Benesz above · Patrik Jokiel below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 61 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Patrik Jokiel at 58.1%
61 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Benesz 9–8 Patrik Jokiel Patrik Jokiel has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jokiel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Benesz 1262 vs Jokiel 1285
Jokiel
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Benesz 20% vs Jokiel 40%
Jokiel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Benesz 30% vs Jokiel 50%
Jokiel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Benesz -2 · Jokiel -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jokiel) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jokiel form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenesz 2.00 / Jokiel 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jokiel)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13188440
Benesz2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 32 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Jokiel1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite46% won 34 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it65% 20 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBenesz5wins
AwayJokiel5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBenesz40%2 of 5
AwayJokiel40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Benesz5Jokiel5n = 10split evenly
S2Benesz8Jokiel2n = 10Benesz took 8 of 10
S3Benesz3Jokiel7n = 10Jokiel took 7 of 10
S4Benesz3Jokiel5n = 8Jokiel took 5 of 8
S5Benesz2Jokiel2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBeneszJokielB − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.338.3+1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBeneszJokielBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 224 vs 212 / 46537.1%45.6%83 / 224 vs 212 / 465Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JokielBenesz 2.00/Jokiel 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Jokiel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jokiel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 20:10R. Benesz4311114892P. Jokiel51991111113
WSep 20 · 20:10R. Benesz50911118113P. Jokiel3711571132
WSep 17 · 18:40R. Benesz4211119113P. Jokiel26751131
LJun 29 · 18:10R. Benesz199370P. Jokiel331111113
WJun 28 · 19:40R. Benesz331111113P. Jokiel187560
LJun 11 · 18:45R. Benesz4511116982P. Jokiel48961111113
WMay 29 · 18:15R. Benesz4061211113P. Jokiel331110841
LMar 17 · 19:45R. Benesz391191361P. Jokiel4691115113
WMar 6 · 22:15R. Benesz49811711123P. Jokiel48118118102
LMar 6 · 19:10R. Benesz33512971P. Jokiel43111011113
R. Benesz10
LSep 24 · 20:40J. Vanous1.53111234113R. Benesz2.38610111112LSep 24 · 18:40J. Vanous1.731111113R. Benesz2.005680LSep 24 · 18:10T. Ogrocki1.361111133R. Benesz3.0047110WSep 22 · 20:45J. Vanous1.578430R. Benesz2.251111113LSep 22 · 20:10R. Benesz1.8311114892P. Jokiel1.83991111113LSep 22 · 18:40J. Vanous1.731211113R. Benesz2.0010470LSep 22 · 18:10T. Ogrocki1.401111113R. Benesz2.755680LSep 20 · 21:15T. Ogrocki1.441112113R. Benesz2.6321040WSep 20 · 20:10P. Jokiel1.8011571132R. Benesz1.91911118113LSep 20 · 19:10R. Benesz2.388590T. Ogrocki1.531111113
P. Jokiel10
LSep 24 · 21:10T. Ogrocki1.5061211113P. Jokiel2.501110491LSep 24 · 19:10P. Jokiel2.63121178122T. Ogrocki1.441091111143WSep 24 · 17:40J. Vanous1.834680P. Jokiel1.831111113LSep 22 · 21:15T. Ogrocki1.441112113P. Jokiel2.6341050WSep 22 · 20:10R. Benesz1.8311114892P. Jokiel1.83991111113LSep 22 · 19:10P. Jokiel2.2554120T. Ogrocki1.571111143WSep 22 · 17:40J. Vanous1.734670P. Jokiel2.001111113LSep 21 · 12:40P. Jokiel1.24129118112M. Klimenta3.801011911133LSep 21 · 12:38P. Jokiel1.25129118112M. Kliment3.751011911133LSep 20 · 20:10P. Jokiel1.8011571132R. Benesz1.91911118113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.