TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Pavel Fojt vs Yurii Holovatiuk 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Pavel Fojt
Home
1.43
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115114115––––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
2.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:01 and never touched — 73.0% is still 73.0%
Graded at full timePavel Fojt to win
73.0%
73.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Fojt above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 47 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Pavel Fojt at 73.0%
47 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Fojt 17–5 Yurii Holovatiuk Yurii Holovatiuk has won 5 of their 22 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Fojt beat Holovatiuk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:01What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.43 (65%)
Fojt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-5 in 22
Fojt
Correct
gap of 12 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fojt 1557 vs Holovatiuk 1467
Fojt
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fojt 100% vs Holovatiuk 20%
Fojt
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fojt 80% vs Holovatiuk 40%
Fojt
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fojt +8 · Holovatiuk -1
Fojt
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Fojt) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFojt 1.43 / Holovatiuk 2.65
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Fojt)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13186184
Fojt1.43
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 80 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it84% 53 of 63
Holovatiuk2.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 61 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFojt8wins
AwayHolovatiuk2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFojt leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFojt83.3%5 of 6
AwayHolovatiuk25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fojt6Holovatiuk4n = 10Fojt took 6 of 10
S2Fojt6Holovatiuk4n = 10Fojt took 6 of 10
S3Fojt7Holovatiuk3n = 10Fojt took 7 of 10
S4Fojt3Holovatiuk3n = 6split evenly
S5Fojt4Holovatiuk1n = 5Fojt took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFojtHolovatiukF − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.534.9+5.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFojtHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime346 / 707 vs 349 / 70448.9%49.6%346 / 707 vs 349 / 704Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FojtFojt 1.43/Holovatiuk 2.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.4%
Fojt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fojt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 20:30P. Fojt48811711113Y. Holovatiuk4411911672
WSep 20 · 02:00P. Fojt52981113113Y. Holovatiuk48111161192
LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt172690Y. Holovatiuk331111113
WSep 5 · 23:30P. Fojt47111195113Y. Holovatiuk4075111162
WAug 31 · 19:30P. Fojt52118148113Y. Holovatiuk47711121162
WJun 2 · 18:30P. Fojt341112113Y. Holovatiuk2051050
WApr 22 · 20:30P. Fojt43101111113Y. Holovatiuk25123731
WMar 21 · 23:30P. Fojt341111123Y. Holovatiuk2468100
WFeb 18 · 20:00P. Fojt341211113Y. Holovatiuk2210840
LFeb 11 · 22:00P. Fojt4411611972Y. Holovatiuk46411911113
P. Fojt10
WSep 23 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.6311911672P. Fojt1.44811711113WSep 23 · 19:30P. Fojt1.831211113P. Klusacek1.8310730WSep 23 · 18:30T. Dousa1.739580P. Fojt2.001111113WSep 20 · 03:28P. Fojt1.67311311113A. Mikuska2.1011711982WSep 20 · 02:00Y. Holovatiuk2.50111161192P. Fojt1.50981113113WSep 20 · 24:30P. Fojt1.7331111113A. Mikuska2.00119641WSep 19 · 23:00P. Fojt1.40111186133K. Darin2.75871111112WSep 19 · 22:00J. Dedek1.369880P. Fojt3.001111113LSep 14 · 01:30P. Fojt2.759680V. Postelt1.401111113LSep 14 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.538111110113P. Fojt2.3811541232
Y. Holovatiuk10
LSep 23 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.6311911672P. Fojt1.44811711113WSep 23 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.631011911113T. Dousa1.4412711862LSep 23 · 18:00P. Klusacek1.8371111113Y. Holovatiuk1.83115391LSep 21 · 20:58Y. Holovatiuk2.50571161T. Dousa1.5011116113LSep 21 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk2.631211111032T. Dousa1.44148712113WSep 21 · 19:30L. Krok1.44881141Y. Holovatiuk2.6311117113LSep 21 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk1.83111375102J. Prokupek1.837111111123WSep 21 · 16:58K. Darin1.836912121Y. Holovatiuk1.83111110143WSep 21 · 16:30Y. Holovatiuk1.5381111113L. Babicka2.38115861LSep 20 · 02:00Y. Holovatiuk2.50111161192P. Fojt1.50981113113
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