TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jan Blazek vs Martin Obraz 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Jan Blazek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115911911911––
Martin Obraz
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeJan Blazek to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Blazek above · Martin Obraz below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jan Blazek at 54.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jan Blazek 14–10 Martin Obraz Martin Obraz has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:01What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Blazek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-10 in 24
Blazek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blazek 1390 vs Obraz 1299
Blazek
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blazek 60% vs Obraz 0%
Blazek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blazek 50% vs Obraz 20%
Blazek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blazek -2 · Obraz -5
Obraz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Blazek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Obraz form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlazek 1.73 / Obraz 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Blazek)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13185788
Blazek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 26 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Obraz2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 28 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back23% 9 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlazek7wins
AwayObraz3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBlazek leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlazek50%2 of 4
AwayObraz16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blazek4Obraz6n = 10Obraz took 6 of 10
S2Blazek6Obraz4n = 10Blazek took 6 of 10
S3Blazek5Obraz5n = 10split evenly
S4Blazek9Obraz1n = 10Blazek took 9 of 10
S5Blazek3Obraz3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlazekObrazB − OBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match46.842.8+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlazekObrazBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 386 vs 145 / 33743.5%43%168 / 386 vs 145 / 337Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlazekBlazek 1.73/Obraz 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Blazek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Obraz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 10:00J. Blazek4211119113M. Obraz34591191
LMay 13 · 11:30J. Blazek58137141592M. Obraz6211111217113
WMay 7 · 10:30J. Blazek4051111133M. Obraz351185111
WApr 17 · 13:30J. Blazek51711814113M. Obraz41112111252
WApr 7 · 10:30J. Blazek4411911133M. Obraz326114111
WMar 6 · 12:00J. Blazek50691311113M. Obraz47111111772
WFeb 11 · 17:33J. Blazek51811711143M. Obraz49118117122
LFeb 11 · 14:15J. Blazek51128811122M. Obraz531011117143
LFeb 6 · 16:45J. Blazek4191141162M. Obraz42114115113
WJan 30 · 14:30J. Blazek4061112113M. Obraz331131091
J. Blazek10
WSep 24 · 11:15M. Vorel1.448850J. Blazek2.631111113LSep 24 · 09:45J. Blazek2.1071111872A. Dvoracek1.67116911113LSep 23 · 13:03M. Melisek1.6711117113J. Blazek2.10891191WSep 23 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.44111281152J. Blazek2.635101113113WSep 23 · 11:00J. Blazek1.801213113D. Sabuka1.91101180WSep 23 · 10:00J. Blazek2.25511117113M. Melisek1.5711791132LSep 17 · 16:39K. Polak1.73111111113J. Blazek2.00981381LSep 17 · 15:30J. Blazek2.506650E. Ondracek1.501111113LSep 17 · 14:30J. Blazek2.20571231M. Melisek1.61111110113WSep 17 · 13:30J. Blazek2.251111113K. Polak1.579960
M. Obraz10
LSep 24 · 09:15M. Vorel1.6191111113M. Obraz2.20115571LSep 16 · 08:34P. Cizek1.831112113M. Obraz1.8341080LSep 16 · 07:30M. Obraz1.6711116662P. Cizek2.10971111113LSep 16 · 06:30M. Obraz1.6712118962L. Krutina2.101071111113LSep 16 · 05:30M. Obraz1.576890M. Cmil2.251111113WSep 15 · 12:38M. Obraz1.531111113P. Moulis2.388470LSep 15 · 12:00M. Obraz1.737114151J. Jnr2.0011411173WSep 15 · 10:30P. Moulis2.25118111252M. Obraz1.57311714113LSep 15 · 10:00J. Blazek1.7311119113M. Obraz2.00591191LJun 17 · 09:08J. Puk1.91411127113M. Obraz1.80114101142
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M. Obraz
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