TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Szymon Radlo vs Mateusz Galus 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Szymon Radlo
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113116711711––
Mateusz Galus
Away
1.65
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:11 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeMateusz Galus to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
1113116711711––
H2H Szymon Radlo 30–26 Mateusz Galus Mateusz Galus has won 26 of their 56 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:11What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Galus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-26 in 56
Radlo
Wrong
gap of 4 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Radlo 1500 vs Galus 1666
Galus
Correct
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Radlo 20% vs Galus 80%
Galus
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Radlo 30% vs Galus 70%
Galus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Radlo -2 · Galus +3
Galus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Galus) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Galus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadlo 2.10 / Galus 1.65
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Galus)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13182632
Radlo2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 171 of 341
Down 0–1, comes back23% 36 of 158
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 98
Galus1.65
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite56% won 128 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it99% 66 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it78% 94 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRadlo5wins
AwayGalus5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRadlo100%4 of 4
AwayGalus83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Radlo4Galus6n = 10Galus took 6 of 10
S2Radlo3Galus7n = 10Galus took 7 of 10
S3Radlo6Galus4n = 10Radlo took 6 of 10
S4Radlo2Galus5n = 7Galus took 5 of 7
S5Radlo3Galus0n = 3Radlo took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRadloGalusR − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.141.9−2.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadloGalusBasisWin rate · lifetime385 / 779 vs 361 / 67949.4%53.2%385 / 779 vs 361 / 679Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GalusRadlo 2.10/Galus 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Galus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Galus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 07:30S. Radlo199460M. Galus331111113
LSep 10 · 08:30S. Radlo3712111041M. Galus4614912113
LAug 31 · 08:30S. Radlo22251141M. Galus4211119113
WAug 30 · 17:05S. Radlo49117118123M. Galus46811611102
WAug 27 · 11:30S. Radlo45111310113M. Galus356111261
WAug 25 · 11:30S. Radlo541291111113M. Galus4914118792
WAug 20 · 05:30S. Radlo591191112163M. Galus55911714142
LAug 18 · 07:30S. Radlo44991791M. Galus48111115113
LAug 4 · 11:00S. Radlo27511110M. Galus371113133
WAug 3 · 07:00S. Radlo351113113M. Galus2881190
S. Radlo10
LSep 23 · 08:00S. Radlo2.05413681P. Gola1.66111111113LSep 23 · 06:00S. Radlo1.71841111102M. Stepien2.00111199123WSep 23 · 05:00S. Radlo2.1011911123D. Stapor1.604119101LSep 22 · 13:10S. Radlo1.65881191D. Stapor2.1011117113LSep 22 · 11:30S. Radlo2.37113381M. Lysakowski1.5251111113LSep 22 · 09:30B. Molka1.651111113S. Radlo2.109990WSep 22 · 08:30S. Radlo2.351191311113M. Stepien1.5281115672WSep 22 · 07:30D. Stapor1.50713118122S. Radlo2.401111611143LSep 22 · 06:00S. Radlo1.919119101S. Wloszek1.8011811123LSep 21 · 12:30S. Radlo2.106680P. Gola1.661111113
M. Galus10
WSep 23 · 08:30M. Galus1.521111123M. Stepien2.3579100WSep 23 · 07:30B. Molka2.1045111142M. Galus1.65111178113WSep 23 · 07:00M. Galus1.441111113P. Gola2.504750LSep 19 · 14:05M. Galus1.83811491D. Stapor1.8911711113WSep 19 · 12:35M. Galus1.601111113M. Stepien2.208930LSep 19 · 10:35M. Ovcharenko1.57511118123M. Galus2.20116511102WSep 19 · 09:35M. Galus1.801111113D. Stapor1.903690LSep 19 · 08:35D. Skvarskyi1.911411712113M. Galus1.78164111072WSep 19 · 07:05M. Galus1.4911118113S. Wloszek2.50441181WSep 18 · 12:40M. Galus—11119113D. Stapor—791181
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