TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Adam Ruszkiewicz vs Rafal Gajda 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113112119––––
Rafal Gajda
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Gajda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
47 points played in total.
Set by set
113112119––––
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 4–1 Rafal Gajda Rafal Gajda has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:27What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1323 vs Gajda 1331
Gajda
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 20% vs Gajda 80%
Gajda
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 50% vs Gajda 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz -3 · Gajda +2
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gajda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gajda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 1.83 / Gajda 1.86
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gajda)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13175786
Ruszkiewicz1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 50 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it72% 41 of 57
Gajda1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 124 of 282
Down 0–1, comes back27% 44 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz4wins
AwayGajda1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderRuszkiewicz leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewicz75%3 of 4
AwayGajdan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz4Gajda1n = 5Ruszkiewicz took 4 of 5
S2Ruszkiewicz4Gajda1n = 5Ruszkiewicz took 4 of 5
S3Ruszkiewicz3Gajda2n = 5Ruszkiewicz took 3 of 5
S4Ruszkiewicz2Gajda1n = 3Ruszkiewicz took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczGajdaR − GBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match41.229.6+11.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczGajdaBasisWin rate · lifetime327 / 874 vs 424 / 82437.4%51.5%327 / 874 vs 424 / 824Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.839.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GajdaRuszkiewicz 1.83/Gajda 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gajda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 22 · 06:45A. Ruszkiewicz331111113R. Gajda143290
WAug 25 · 06:00A. Ruszkiewicz55911915113R. Gajda48116111372
LJul 16 · 10:35A. Ruszkiewicz4511119862R. Gajda48961111113
WJul 16 · 03:00A. Ruszkiewicz4011711113R. Gajda27611641
WJul 14 · 08:45A. Ruszkiewicz331111113R. Gajda112540
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 22 · 05:35A. Ruszkiewicz3.2069100K. Hetnar1.311111123LSep 22 · 04:25I. Szymanski2.50711119113A. Ruszkiewicz1.4511871152LSep 22 · 03:35A. Ruszkiewicz2.00111151082J. Kaczmarek1.70691112113WSep 19 · 05:05A. Ruszkiewicz1.601111113R. Adach2.157960LSep 19 · 03:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.898117101K. Juszczyk1.8211411123LSep 19 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz1.6111139952G. Sawicki1.977111111113WSep 19 · 24:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.85111110113D. Fira1.70781281WSep 18 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.95118129123O. Sokolowski1.626111011102WSep 18 · 22:20D. Fira1.86112641A. Ruszkiewicz1.8331111113WSep 18 · 21:30K. Juszczyk1.50114811A. Ruszkiewicz2.3571111113
R. Gajda10
WSep 22 · 06:00I. Szymanski3.55126231R. Gajda1.18101111113WSep 22 · 05:10R. Gajda1.8311611113J. Kaczmarek1.87911691LSep 22 · 04:00R. Gajda1.2511914882K. Kowalski3.456111211113WSep 16 · 13:55R. Gajda1.20111111113I. Szymanski4.33461351WSep 16 · 12:40R. Gajda1.831191112113K. Adamus1.83131191092LSep 16 · 11:25R. Gajda2.0011880P. Gumulinski1.731311113WSep 16 · 10:10P. Przewlocki1.80101150R. Gajda1.911213113LSep 16 · 09:25R. Gajda1.831013891W. Urban1.83121111113WSep 16 · 07:45R. Gajda1.73118138113P. Przewlocki2.00511111182LSep 16 · 06:30R. Gajda1.8310880K. Adamus1.831211113
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