TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kacper Slawinski vs Jerzy Pelka 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Kacper Slawinski
Home
1.32
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811119119911118
Jerzy Pelka
Away
2.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:13 and never touched — 65.5% is still 65.5%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
65.5%
65.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
811119119911118
H2H Kacper Slawinski 32–8 Jerzy Pelka Jerzy Pelka has won 8 of their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (68%)
Slawinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-8 in 40
Slawinski
Correct
gap of 24 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawinski 1455 vs Pelka 1374
Slawinski
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawinski 60% vs Pelka 40%
Slawinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawinski 60% vs Pelka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawinski -1 · Pelka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (60%) is below what odds imply (76%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawinski 1.32 / Pelka 2.85
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Slawinski)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13175755
Slawinski1.32
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 132 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it98% 62 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it82% 98 of 119
Pelka2.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 87 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlawinski5wins
AwayPelka5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawinski100%4 of 4
AwayPelka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawinski4Pelka6n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S2Slawinski4Pelka6n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S3Slawinski6Pelka4n = 10Slawinski took 6 of 10
S4Slawinski1Pelka5n = 6Pelka took 5 of 6
S5Slawinski3Pelka1n = 4Slawinski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlawinskiPelkaS − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.138.5−2.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawinskiPelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime634 / 1023 vs 446 / 95062%47%634 / 1023 vs 446 / 950Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiSlawinski 1.32/Pelka 2.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.6%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Slawinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 06:45K. Slawinski50811119113J. Pelka4811991182
WAug 4 · 17:05K. Slawinski481111105113J. Pelka4076121142
LAug 4 · 08:45K. Slawinski173770J. Pelka331111113
WJan 29 · 17:20K. Slawinski341112113J. Pelka2261060
LJan 29 · 07:45K. Slawinski31591161J. Pelka4111118113
WJan 19 · 18:05K. Slawinski4213511133J. Pelka4211119111
LJan 19 · 09:45K. Slawinski216870J. Pelka331111113
LJan 8 · 12:30K. Slawinski2041060J. Pelka341112113
WJan 8 · 08:10K. Slawinski521191110113J. Pelka4881181292
LDec 4 · 14:30K. Slawinski4691111872J. Pelka44116511113
K. Slawinski10
LSep 22 · 05:30K. Slawinski1.27111011882O. Vincenec2.95612811113WSep 20 · 16:40R. Wojcik2.8081060K. Slawinski1.371112113WSep 20 · 15:55R. Adach4.05911671K. Slawinski1.1311611113WSep 20 · 13:55M. Oracz2.10915511102K. Slawinski1.601113119123LSep 20 · 13:10O. Jadach1.82661111133K. Slawinski1.88111197112LSep 20 · 11:30P. Mecik3.251111113K. Slawinski1.309960WSep 20 · 10:40R. Wojcik2.051414861K. Slawinski1.65121611113LSep 20 · 09:55R. Adach4.0581111133K. Slawinski1.131189111WSep 20 · 07:55M. Oracz2.108960K. Slawinski1.601111113WSep 20 · 07:10P. Mecik3.256750K. Slawinski1.301111113
J. Pelka10
WSep 22 · 05:55J. Pelka1.901111113K. Jablonski1.804990LSep 21 · 15:30J. Pelka1.90991191P. Przewlocki1.7511112113LSep 21 · 14:20J. Pelka2.10991191P. Przewlocki1.6711112113LSep 21 · 12:40J. Pruszkowski1.5371111113J. Pelka2.38111771WSep 21 · 11:50M. Skuril2.108111061J. Pelka1.6711512113WSep 21 · 11:00J. Pelka1.8361P. Gumulinski1.8350LSep 21 · 09:50J. Pelka2.2013101181R. Idaczyk1.6115126113WSep 21 · 08:10J. Pelka1.7311911133P. Przewlocki2.003116111WSep 21 · 06:30J. Pruszkowski1.57391191J. Pelka2.2511119113WSep 21 · 05:40R. Idaczyk1.83810190J. Pelka1.831112213
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