TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Kushnirenko vs Vadim Komar 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Serhii Kushnirenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911311119711––
Vadim Komar
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVadim Komar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kushnirenko above · Vadim Komar below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Vadim Komar at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kushnirenko 17–25 Vadim Komar Serhii Kushnirenko has won 17 of their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:10What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Komar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-25 in 42
Komar
Correct
gap of 8 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kushnirenko 1885 vs Komar 1816
Kushnirenko
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kushnirenko 60% vs Komar 20%
Kushnirenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kushnirenko 40% vs Komar 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kushnirenko -2 · Komar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Komar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komar form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKushnirenko 2.00 / Komar 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Komar)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13173010
Kushnirenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 137 of 406
Down 0–1, comes back18% 45 of 247
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 134
Komar1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 36 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it71% 25 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKushnirenko5wins
AwayKomar5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKushnirenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayKomar75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kushnirenko6Komar4n = 10Kushnirenko took 6 of 10
S2Kushnirenko5Komar5n = 10split evenly
S3Kushnirenko4Komar6n = 10Komar took 6 of 10
S4Kushnirenko5Komar3n = 8Kushnirenko took 5 of 8
S5Kushnirenko2Komar3n = 5Komar took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKushnirenkoKomarKushnirenko − KomarBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.640.9−2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKushnirenkoKomarBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 795 vs 234 / 60041.3%39%328 / 795 vs 234 / 600Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KomarKushnirenko 2.00/Komar 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Komar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Komar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 06:00S. Kushnirenko4311119123V. Komar378811101
LSep 18 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko506111111112V. Komar51116138133
WSep 12 · 09:00S. Kushnirenko331111113V. Komar229580
LSep 11 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko40111011442V. Komar50712911113
LSep 9 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko4381151362V. Komar501161111113
WSep 8 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko49811712113V. Komar47118111072
WAug 26 · 06:00S. Kushnirenko3811511113V. Komar31611591
LAug 25 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko29116481V. Komar3851111113
WAug 23 · 06:00S. Kushnirenko47116117123V. Komar50911911102
LAug 22 · 17:34S. Kushnirenko143830V. Komar331111113
S. Kushnirenko10
LSep 22 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko3.25119281S. Balabei1.3391111113LSep 21 · 17:29S. Ponomarenko1.02101111113S. Kushnirenko10.50128211WSep 21 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.501111113R. Horokh1.509580WSep 21 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.20119119113D. Yurkov1.6191131172WSep 21 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko3.25101111113S. Balabei1.33124491LSep 21 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko11.001211331S. Ponomarenko1.0214711113WSep 19 · 10:34D. Kryshtal1.61911161S. Kushnirenko2.2011811113LSep 19 · 09:30S. Kushnirenko2.2011411462D. Kryshtal1.61611711113LSep 19 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko11.009960S. Ponomarenko1.021111113LSep 19 · 07:00S. Kushnirenko1.916340I. Shyndel1.801111113
V. Komar10
LSep 22 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.531111113V. Komar2.385880WSep 19 · 09:00I. Shyndel1.368960V. Komar3.001111113LSep 19 · 07:30S. Ponomarenko1.0511119113V. Komar8.50681161LSep 19 · 06:00S. Kushnirenko2.0011119123V. Komar1.738811101LSep 19 · 05:00D. Kryshtal1.571111113V. Komar2.255760LSep 18 · 17:28S. Ponomarenko1.051111113V. Komar8.507370LSep 18 · 16:00V. Komar8.5091080S. Ponomarenko1.051112113LSep 18 · 15:00S. Balabei2.75913137113V. Komar1.401111111162WSep 18 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.006111111112V. Komar1.73116138133WSep 18 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.531171081V. Komar2.3861112113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.