TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts Sep 22, 05:05Scheduled
Ivan Kozachuk
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 27–3Last 10Lost last 2
Head to head
45 – 44
All 89 meetings · 50.6%
Last 10 · 6–4Same side
Denys Shcherbak
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 17–3Last 10Won last 1
Both players are 7–3 over their last ten. The difference is the direction — Denys Shcherbak arrives off a win, Ivan Kozachuk off a loss, and the streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 11h before this match
Shcherbak beat Kozachuk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozachuk 1.80 / Shcherbak 1.91
Setka Cup · #13172885
Kozachuk1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 109 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it83% 81 of 98
Shcherbak1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog42% won 95 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back16% 21 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKozachuk6wins
AwayShcherbak4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKozachuk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKozachuk80%4 of 5
AwayShcherbak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kozachuk5Shcherbak5n = 10split evenly
S2Kozachuk4Shcherbak6n = 10Shcherbak took 6 of 10
S3Kozachuk7Shcherbak3n = 10Kozachuk took 7 of 10
S4Kozachuk3Shcherbak2n = 5Kozachuk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKozachukShcherbakK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.132.4+2.7per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozachukShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime553 / 1101 vs 344 / 66550.2%51.7%553 / 1101 vs 344 / 665Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 18:05I. Kozachuk258890D. Shcherbak331111113
WSep 19 · 08:35I. Kozachuk3851111113D. Shcherbak28115391
WSep 18 · 12:35I. Kozachuk341211113D. Shcherbak2110380
WSep 18 · 01:00I. Kozachuk341111123D. Shcherbak2284100
WSep 15 · 08:35I. Kozachuk49115139113D. Shcherbak47511111192
LSep 14 · 16:05I. Kozachuk2410860D. Shcherbak341211113
WSep 14 · 01:00I. Kozachuk4211911113D. Shcherbak28311861
LSep 11 · 01:00I. Kozachuk4611911962D. Shcherbak43611411113
LSep 7 · 01:15I. Kozachuk208570D. Shcherbak331111113
WSep 5 · 05:05I. Kozachuk3961111113D. Shcherbak35117891
I. Kozachuk10
LSep 21 · 18:05D. Shcherbak2.001111113I. Kozachuk1.738890LSep 21 · 17:05I. Kozachuk2.3891191292S. Rak1.531151110113WSep 21 · 16:05I. Kozachuk1.28111168113D. Neborak3.5099111192WSep 21 · 14:35I. Kozachuk2.10911113113D. Pesternikov1.6711761182WSep 21 · 12:35I. Kozachuk1.67111110113I. Romaniak2.10691251WSep 19 · 10:35O. Bindas1.5361360I. Kozachuk2.381115113WSep 19 · 09:35I. Kozachuk1.1481111113O. Hura5.00115941WSep 19 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.7351111113D. Shcherbak2.00115391LSep 19 · 07:05I. Kozachuk2.388760S. Rak1.531111113WSep 19 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.3051112123R. Haiseniuk3.4011310101
D. Shcherbak10
WSep 21 · 18:05D. Shcherbak2.001111113I. Kozachuk1.738890LSep 21 · 16:35D. Shcherbak3.25115661D. Pesternikov1.3381111113WSep 21 · 15:05D. Shcherbak2.201111123S. Rak1.6145100WSep 21 · 13:35D. Shcherbak1.739101111133I. Romaniak2.00111266112WSep 21 · 12:05D. Shcherbak1.501111113D. Neborak2.507570WSep 19 · 11:05S. Rak1.57711111032D. Shcherbak2.2511971293LSep 19 · 10:05R. Haiseniuk2.6391111113D. Shcherbak1.44118971LSep 19 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.7351111113D. Shcherbak2.00115391WSep 19 · 06:35O. Hura2.63911681D. Shcherbak1.4411711113WSep 19 · 04:35O. Bindas1.3697100D. Shcherbak3.001111123
Upcoming Matches
I. Kozachuk
D. Shcherbak
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