Szymon Brud vs Radoslaw Malinowski 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Szymon Brud

Home

1.50

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

7111113911––––

Radoslaw Malinowski

Away

2.50

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:44 and never touched: 64.1% is still 64.1%

Graded at full time

Szymon Brud to win

64.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingSzymon Brud above · Radoslaw Malinowski below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 9-11

Point 62 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Szymon Brud at 64.1%

62 points played in total.

H2H Szymon Brud 6–2 Radoslaw Malinowski Radoslaw Malinowski has won 2 of their 8 meetings.

Last 8 · 6–2Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Brud

Brud 1.50/Malinowski 2.50

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

64.1%

Brud · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Malinowski won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 18:44

64.1%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50

short by 2.6pp

66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Brud

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

6-2 in 8

Brud

Wrong

gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Brud 1488 vs Malinowski 1442

Brud

Wrong

both rated, 47 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Brud 40% vs Malinowski 60%

Malinowski

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Brud 40% vs Malinowski 60%

Malinowski

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Brud +1 · Malinowski +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Brud) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Malinowski: form 60%, the price implies 40%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBrud 1.50 / Malinowski 2.50

Signal prob.64% / 36%

Edge (Brud)-2.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 8 meetings

HomeBrud6wins

AwayMalinowski2wins

Brud leads 6–2.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBrud80%4 of 5

AwayMalinowski33.3%1 of 3

Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Brud5Malinowski3n = 8Brud took 5 of 8

S2Brud7Malinowski1n = 8Brud took 7 of 8

S3Brud6Malinowski2n = 8Brud took 6 of 8

S4Brud2Malinowski2n = 4split evenly

How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home450%

3–1Four sets, home225%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away225%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 8 meetings

MetricBrudMalinowskiB − MBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match35.228.9+6.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBrudMalinowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime594 / 1130 vs 231 / 48552.6%47.6%594 / 1130 vs 231 / 485Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.6per match

TT Elite Series · #13284133

Brud1.50

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite62% won 146 of 234

Up 2–0, closes it91% 59 of 65

Up 1–0, closes it76% 93 of 122

Malinowski2.50

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog35% won 30 of 86

Down 0–1, comes back14% 7 of 50

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29

Szymon Brud vs Radoslaw Malinowski 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Szymon Brud vs Radoslaw Malinowski 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.